LAST EDITED ON 05-17-17 AT 06:43 PM (EST)

episode              | I | 1a| 1b| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7b| 8 | 9 | 10|total 
Sarah     Nuku-tavu  | * | 1 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 2$| 24
Cirie     Nuku-tavu  | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2$| 23
Brad      Nuku-mana  | 1 | 1 | * | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3$| 2 | 21
Michaela  Mana-nuku  | * | 2 | 2 | 1 | * | 3 | * | * | 3 | 1 | * | 1 | 5 | 18
Sierra    Nuku-mana  | * | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18X
Tai       Nuku-mana  | * | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | 17
Andrea    Nuku-tavu  | * | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | * | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15
Aubry     Mana-nuku  | * | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | * | 12
Troyzan   Mana-tavu  | * | 1 | * | 3 | * | 1 | 2 | * | * | * | 1 | * | * | 8 

Boots:

Ciera          Mana  | * | 2 | 2X 
Tony           Mana  | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8X 
Caleb     Mana-mana  | * | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6X 
Malcolm   Mana-nuku  | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9X 
JT        Nuku-nuku  | * | * | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4*| 11X
Sandra    Mana-nuku  | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 19X 
Varner    Mana-nuku  | * | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17X 
Hali      Mana-mana  | * | 1 | * | 2 | 2 | 1 | * | * | 3 | 9X
Ozzy      Nuku-tavu  | * | 1 | * | 2 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | * | 2 | 8X
Debbie    Nuku-mana  | 1 | * | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20X
Zeke      Nuku-tavu  | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | * | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 20X
Sierra    Nuku-mana  | * | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18X  

This week the star of the show is Michaela. Her confessionals center around how she felt sending Zeke home, one of their own; then how she felt after not getting chosen for the RC, then recruiting Tai and making options for her and Tai. Her confessionals were: TC was a heart breaker, for some reason we all decided to acquiese to Andrea. The majority turning on each other after one vote just means that there is nothing solid in a big group. She clearly plants the blame on Andrea. Her second confessional: I was really pissed off at the RC because they didn’t care about me and my mother. So, I so a huge opportunity to move myself forward in the game. Tai is awesome to work with in the game because he has no one. Her third confessional: I put Tai and me in a wonderful position! Now, we got options, be with the group that votes Andrea or be with the group that votes Brad. And, we’ll come to that decision whenever it’s time to come to that decision. By the end of the day, it’s about what’s good for Michaela and what Michaela is trying to do in this game. Then she talks about how Brad won immunity. They all think it's either Brad or Sierra, but really it's Andrea or Sierra. They all think I'm voting with them, someone's going to be blindsided! And, finally she gets the last confessional before TC: Initially we wanted to get Andrea because she might win everything, but the fact that Sierra has an advantage further convolutes what’s best for right now. Tai and I need to decide which way to go tonight. Sierra is a good person to get rid of, but we would like Andrea gone sooner rather than later. The question is now the best time? It’s a great thing when the decision is in your hands as long as you make the right one. Because, if you make the wrong one you’ll end up on the jury and looking stupid.

So, the question of the hour is did Michaela and Tai make the right decision or the wrong one? Clearly, her arc is under way in a big way. I don't know if she will have the chance to settle down, I feel like she will be at high risk this week. She told Sierra and company she was with them, clearly Tai is with her. I think this will wreck havoc if Brad and Troyzan go to the powers that be, Andrea, with Michaela's antics. We do see Cirie with a quandary in the preview vidcaps. We all know that Brad never liked Michaela to begin with. Will the next episode be Michaela vs. Andrea? Sure would be good for Brad and Troy!

Sierra had 4 confessionals in her final episode.

Brad, Andrea, Cirie, and Sarah all had 2 confessionals. Brad's first confessional is simple narration of events: Brad: I thought myself, Troy, Tai, Sierra were on the bottom and one of us was going home, but come to find out there was a whole plan to get rid of Zeke. See Andrea. But, unfortunately we all put Tai down, so I don’t know if I have Tai anymore.

His second was after the RC, I am very fortunate that my loved one is a former stud Survivor player. She’s a huge resource for me. Michaela was like angry that she was not selected so hopefully Troyzan and Sierra are back at camp trying to convince Michaela to flip into alignment with us otherwise I have to win immunity in order for me to make it another day. He spells out the events from his point of view.

Andrea comments on Michaela after the RC, She was completely defeated but she's smart and knows the game so we will give her a day and she will get over it. (Telling us that she doesn't know Michaela as well as she thinks she does.....will Michaela get the best of her?) Her second confessional was straight narration: Before the challenge we were planning on taking out Brad, and Brad won immunity. So it does kind of limit our choices....

Cirie: She gets right to the point: If the pair of Sierra and Brad stay together long enough, and they can convince enough people to come back to that side, we are back in trouble. So, we got to split that up. Next, she comments on her son, Jarod, he's like her, not an island boy, a city boy, huge to see him open up to this, only thing better would be for me to win the game. (Million Dollar quote?)

Sarah: Her first confessional was after Sierra told her about the legacy idol: Brad and Sierra need to be split up and when she told me about her advantage it actually made me want to keep her now because she’s giving me information and she wants to work with me. So, the door is opening for her to stay in this game and Brad’s game is over. Then, later her tune changes. So, originally I didn’t want to vote Sierra out but Brad won immunity. And, if Sierra goes it is not all bad because Sierra has told me about this Legacy Advantage and that she would will it to me if she leaves. Now, the only trick is I need to confirm that Sierra thinks that I am good with her, to ensure that she gives it to me. I don’t want to vote her out, but this isn’t about making friends this is about winning a million dollars. **** So, now according to Sierra, Tai, and Michaela may vote out Andrea which is news to me. I need them to help me vote Sierra out because I need that advantage.

Sarah gets full credit for switching up the vote from Andrea to Sierra so she can get the legacy advantage. Sarah is able to manipulate the events to what she wants. Now she has two advantages. She's in a GREAT position!

Tai had one confessional. He was blindsided by his core alliance. He was ripe to flip and it was Michaela that connected with him. With 2 idols, he's a good one to connect with! He spells it out: The original five say it’s Sierra but Sierra, Brad and Troy want to vote out Andrea, so I’m weighing my options. Right now I am closest to Michaela. Strategically both groups want us.They both need our numbers.

Aubry and Troyzan: under the radar.

At this point in the show and examining the confessionals I do not see how Troyzan could win. He's found an idol, but done nothing. He's got a positive mindset though, he could get to the end, but definitely, if he does not start winning challenges, he really has no argument. Aubry is also not favored to win. She has had steady low confessionals, but the content of them has mostly been narrational, talking about the events at the time. She is not leading the events, she's going along. She could get to the end as well if the leaders get the boot, but, does she have much of an argument to win?

Regarding the others I do see a case for them.

This week the most at risk for me are Michaela and Andrea. Michaela has a large spike, and now she's recruited Tai. She's putting the target on Andrea's back. Andrea has proven to be a savvy and dangerous competitor, capable of winning immunities. Will she win the next one? If she does and she finds out about Michaela's antics, Michaela could be in trouble.

Andrea got the credit for the Zeke boot. She's winning challenges. They all see it. She is clearly in the cross hairs.

I love that we hear in the preview that Cirie is questioning whether or not she can do something. Sounds like she may turn on either Michaela or Andrea? Can't wait to see who it is!

At this point we are down to 8. Tai has 2 idols, Troy has one, Sarah has a steal a vote and a HII at 6. At this point, I see Sarah, Cirie, Tai as safe. Brad or Troyzan could be the target if they do not win immunity. But, if Brad wins it, will Troy play his idol and bounce someone else?

All kinds of things can happen at this point. Will Tai give one of his idols to Michaela?

High risk: Michaela, Andrea
At risk: Brad, Troy, Aubry(hidden boot candidate and she's a number for Andrea/Cirie),
Safe: Tai, Sarah, Cirie