LAST EDITED ON 05-04-17 AT 06:50 AM (EST)

Yes, I agree, by far Sarah does have the featured spike, but as Cirie did with 8, I think there is far more to Sarah's story. Clearly, you are right. I don't think Sarah is in danger of being voted out, however.

Also, it's really not a formula rather than observations. Got to consider the number of confessionals coupled with the events....There are many factors that come into play. For example, one expects a confessional spike when an event happens: ex. when Cirie was at the core of the emotional challenge IC, and her team responded as they did; when someone finds a HII or an advantage, etc. And, as Corvis did so beautifully, distinguish the types of confessionals if possible....narrational of events, dynamic ~ which speaks to how someone views the game and is coupled with action.

A spike or a dip can be significant even if it's just by one....I suppose you have to consider the numbers that person is getting as their baseline as well. It's a flag when there are changes that are different then their "pattern", if they even have a baseline pattern. They also wax and wane with story arcs...re. Curie and her challenge performance.

And, we have always noted that female winners are edited differently!

And, make no mistake, I am certainly no expert at this whatsoever....it's all just assessment really. Just charting it all to see if we can make any sense of what is going on and if we can use the chart to possibly aid in predicting the winners, end game players.