LAST EDITED ON 12-09-15 AT 10:47 PM (EST)

"Some tweaks"

So this could bite me in the butt like it did with Jenn last year if I am wrong(Jenn being a merge target and being a early juror). But I am thinking more on Abi's edit. Maybe Abi is tied to Jeff's edit. Jeff talked about in episode 2 how he could drag Abi to the end. Well, that made me think......

Maybe Abi DOES make the merge and goes early in it and when she goes, Jeff goes right after her. And the other person tied to Jeff-Kelly-could find herself maybe in a build-up arc to her boot similar to Reed after Josh was voted out in SJDS. I don't think she will go right after but the editing told us she is tied to Jeff.

However, now about Stephen. I do believe he will outlast Savage. And should he make the merge he has these targets ahead of him:Jeff, Abi, Joe, and Kass(she won't survive a merge with Tasha and Spencer. Editing doesn't need to tell us that). That is at least getting him to perhaps ninth place. He could be the Varner of Bayon and like Josh(Coyopa's Jeremy), find himself going right after Varner.

So then we go back to the alternative.....Keith. I don't like he didn't get anything the last two shows, but he was one of the three male standouts the first show. He may have actually had the best strategic edit of those three as he's doing what he did the last time but plans tweaks. And with it being a 20 player season and not 18 there maybe could be another chance for Keith in the next episode or two. And really, who's going to get rid of him? He won't be dominating challenges this time with Jeremy, Spencer, Tasha around imo.

Finally I am beginning to think Monica could take Kimmi's spot.

So now with my new updated outlooks
Endgame
Tasha
Kelley
Spencer
Jeremy
Kimmi/Monica
Keith

The Pickoffs at Mid Merge
Kelly
Kimmi/Monica/Ciera

The Major Confessional Stealer Boots
Stephen
Jeff

Jeff's Preceding Boot and Editing Handcuff
Abi

The First Targets
Joe
Kass

The Rest out Pre-Merge
Terry
Savage
Woo
Ciera/Monica

And also, this tells of perhaps a 13 person merge if Abi is in it because I can see none of the names I listed(except for one of the multi-options) going pre-merge. But if Abi ends up going pre-merge I guess I'll have to take the hit.

After three episodes I don't think I need to break this all down anymore. The only thing that I need to be on the lookout for is Keith and what he does the next episode. At some point I will be breaking down how I see my final 6 order shaking out.

NAILED IT but Abi was also endgame and with it being a six person finale I should have stuck with her as the penultimate boot as I had forshadowed last week or a couple weeks ago. There was 7 this year instead of 8. But the final six I called back in week 3 is just that, the final six.