LAST EDITED ON 10-08-15 AT 01:31 AM (EST)

The endgamers are set(four of them)
Jeremy-I had him winning last week and now I am going back on that. He found an idol, and his confessionals was as moderate as before. He is not getting the narrative edit he had before in SJDS and that was mainly why he went early in the merge on a editing standpoint. However, I think Jeremy fits the perfect spot of past threats, person the winners want out(the Dans, Jons, Tashas), 6th place.

Tasha-Her story has been strong the first and this episode. However, in this episode she was in so much negative surrounding it became hard for me to see her as the winner. Also, her million dollar confessional was not included in the recap this time but she did once again say in the episode that she's here to play for a million dollars. However, her outburst at the IC, she came off very OTT in the post-IC, all this tells me she is indeed the endgame villain and losing finalist.

Spencer-And this episode mirrored the last two seasons third episode standouts in Natalie and Mike. That is strong stuff. Spencer is going to the final four again. He's one of my winner choices. He piled it on more with not only talking about how his game changed, Jeremy even said he would keep him around for a while, and thats after Spencer talks about his girlfriend and all. I have a feeling Spencer gets to that point because he's going to have friends in the endgame in Tasha and.............

Kelley-Kelley had only one big moment today and it was where she pulled a "Keith" about Terry having the idol and she wanted to throw him under the bus even acknowledging the "get under the bus, go" wow Kelley's too much quality confessional to not be endgame. She is the other contender for the win.

The showdown is Spencer vs Kelley

Now there has to be one other vocal endgamer and it has to be one of these
Abi
Stephen
Terry
Abi has way too much drama. And she is being fleshed out already too early. She is tragic and if he gets to the end, I think this season could turn sour because she will simply cause people to tune out. Editors know this. I say she is pre-merge. Terry has too much positivity but also seems very cocky. I think Terry is pre-merge too. Now that leaves Stephen. Stephen appears to have a negative edit but just because someone has a negative edit does not mean they can't go far. It's when their negative edit is the center of attention, ala Abi. And when Savage gets taken out, and I still say pre-merge, Tasha does not have to stay loyal to the alpha alliance she will reunite with Spencer and they and Kelley will be calling the shots. I think they will take Stephen under their wing.

I have to go with Stephen here as the fifth endgamer. And I am seeing fifth place.

The previous person in position to make endgame was Keith but he has been absent two episodes now, which is bad. And he showed up the first episode so he's not the quiet one that gets to the end. When someone doesn't show up in the first and third episode that's troubling but if Stephen ends up going early in the merge as the original Bayon overnarrator, then it can't be anyone but Keith. Or maybe....Kass.

Now the silent one that gets to the end. The candidates
Monica
Kelly
Kimmi

Ciera opened her mouth this episode which imo has pretty much cemented her to not get there. Out of those three above we see Kimmi's presence at least here or there. Such as when she told Jeremy Stephen was looking for the idol in the first episode. Monica's had nothing like that except being shown looking for the idol in this past episode, and Kelly while she's had a confessional each episode until this one, she appears to be on the quiet side. However, Kelly is a stronger player and is no Sierra and Jaclyn. Monica's given no reason why she will be there. I say Kimmi is the silent endgamer. There has always been at least one woman over 40 in the finale since One World. And she would be it especially if Kass misses out.

Kimmi's the sixth endgamer. And likely the 2nd or 3rd place depending on Tasha's receptions.

Varner-He should make it to the merge and then he's in trouble like past storytellers Jenn and Jeremy.

There is the notion of the eight without a opening confessional being the first eight boots. However, two of them will survive. Because Abi's clearly the weakest link of the ones with a confessional. And Savage just does not appear to have a merge arc. I am not seeing it. He seems to be the same person he was before and the edit is showing him to come off completely unlikable. I think there is going to be a second swap and the Stephen/Savage arc will come to a head. One of those are set up to make the merge. And I don't see Terry again getting there because his edit is not showing strategy. He seems to have Mad Dog's edit. He's just happy to be there. We will probably have one more without a confessional going and I am thinking Woo. Then the early drama Abi and then the next swap occurs setting up the Fishbach/Savage conclusion with Savage going, and then Terry's time is up and Ciera closes out the pre-merge.