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Great post. I totally agree with your analysis. In the East Coast play-by-play thread the other night I mentioned how I felt that Kelley's edit took a significant turn for the negative this week and they were poking fun at the women overall, including the animal imagery mocking Kimmi. It is sexist, unfortunately, but it appears that the editors are telling us that Kelley and the women's alliance will not prevail. We are meant to be rooting for Spencer and Jeremy.
One thing you did not mention was that "shadow" effect they used for when Spencer voted and we didn't see him, just heard him. I don't ever recall something like that before, do you? It certainly added to the drama of the moment, but made me wonder if this was a bad sign for him.
There's still a lot of game to be played, and given that the winner picks have changed significantly from episode to episode, it could change again, but I agree with you that either Jeremy or Spencer are the winner. I think Spencer's edit is more manipulated and he better fits the theme of the season…..but I think that Jeremy is getting more of the "hero" edit that will tug on the jury's and audience's heartstrings. Heart probably beats brains/strategy, although I agree with you that Spencer has played the better strategic and social game overall, especially coming from the losing tribe and not having strong alliances or an HII. Perhaps that will be his case to the jury and it will come down to whether the jury remains Banyon strong.
P.S. Check out my post above about the 9-min. clip from Ep. 1. I just rewatched for fun this weekend, and it's interesting to note that Spencer, Tasha and Jeremy are the only ones who have a "winner's confessional." Watching in hindsight, it sure gave away a lot of the season but would love to get your take.
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