LAST EDITED ON 03-15-16 AT 12:05 PM (EST)

episode        | I | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | total
Alecia    To   | . | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12X
Tai       Go   | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11
KyleJason To   | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11
Scot      To   | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | . | 10
Debbie    Ch   | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8
Peter     Ch   | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8
Caleb     Go   | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | . | 6X
Cydney    Go   | . | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6
Anna      Go   | 1 | 3 | . | 1 | . | 5
Neal      Ch   | . | 3 | 1 | 1 | . | 5
Joe       Ch   | 1 | 1 | 2 | . | . | 4
Aubrey    Ch   | . | 3 | . | 1 | . | 4
Nick      Go   | 1 | 2 | . | 1 | . | 4
Michele   Go   | . | 2 | 1 | . | . | 3
Julia     Go   | . | 1 | 1 | . | . | 2

Eliminated
Darnell   To   | . | 2 | 2X
Jennifer  To   | . | 2 | 5 | 7X
Liz       Ch   | . | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9X
Caleb     Go   | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | . | 6X
Alecia    To   | . | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12X
 

Well, I definitely agree with Tribe's sentiments. This season's confessionals will and are affected by the harsh conditions of the season. We had 10 DAWS go completely under the radar this episode. I think the beauty's got a lot of presence however on screen. It's easy to see they are a tight knit tribe that really gets along. Despite Caleb's removal, they can still work together to pull out a win.

Debbie was the star of the show. She had a confessional re: Liz removal, and Peter still here, then about her heat stroke, and finally the one about her daughters. To me, this is almost a swan song. I have to wonder if this is a redemption edit and she is out next? It crossed my mind.

Jason, after being shown to not tolerate Alecia at all in the last episode, and knocking her to the rocks to get the HII, was shown truly sympathetic and nurturing to his tribemate, Cydney, and then got a somewhat redeeming confessional when he spoke of his daughters. I think he's definitely one of the characters of the season and he's shown to have some depth. He's safe.

Peter's confessional was used as foreshadowing, perhaps. I see him as safe, at least for the next episode.

Cydney's was narrational, Alecia's was recalling her perception of Scot's comments. Tai's was commenting on the removal of Caleb and what that could mean for him.

Most at risk for me: Debbie, with a steady peak to confessionals, and with the most in this episode when most had no confessionals, she could be ripe for a fall. Scot, went from 3 to UTR: has done a lot of narrating for his tribe, now no confessionals, could it be a "hidden boot"?

*Something to note: the remaining DAWS with no intro confessional:

Aubrey, Neal, Cydney, Julia, and Michele. Will one of them be next?

Also, something to note, there were only 5 people with confessionals that weren't booted this week: Debbie, Peter, Tai, Cydney, Jason. If the winner is not one of these 5, then the winner of the season had an under the radar episode with no confessionals. Food for thought.