Okay, a couple of things are clear every new season.
1. Studios often choose to ride the waves of previous winning styles. For every new show that becomes a hit, four of the same genre show up for the next cycle. These are pale imitations and almost NEVER capture the fans of the previous "landmark" series.
2. Studios think that past tv stars have enough draw power of their own to sustain whatever new series they are thrown into.
There are standards, set by Bea Arthur, Bob Newhart and Mary Tyler Moore, so it can be done. However, we are no longer tied to the studio system as it was in the 60's, 70's and 80's. There are a vast amount of other studios making new shows with new characters and testing new ground. Aside from Betty White, no one star can illicit overwhelming feelings of "must see" for everyone.
3. Retreads, Remakes and Revivals. While traditionally meaning cheaper, better, faster...it often leads to a been there, seen that, over it response. They keep trying though. And also of note is that the occasional spin-off will succeed through this same sort of intention but more often than not it won't.
4. Every new season, more shows get canceled than get renewed. There will be lots and lots of victims. Luckily for them, Hollywood has less of a memory recall than the viewing public.
So with those 4 points out of the way, I will begin my version of the Cancelled List; with a lot of demises.
666 Park Avenue - American Horror Story with a lot less scare.
The Family Tools - With an "Earl" pedigree, it's doubtful we will be savoring yet another delightfully delinquent shlubb, let alone two of them.
How to Live With Your Parents for the Rest of Your Life - Killed itself through title alone.
Malibu Country - horrifyingly loose and unbelievable concept
Mistresses - Retreading of Army Wives, Basketball Wives, etc.
Red Widow - Dutch TV for American? Nope.
Zero Hour - So what is it about?
Elementary - Interesting concept and may indeed be able to grab an audience. However, I don't see them hanging on for long as both main characters come off as annoyingly Monk-House-ish.
Golden Boy - horrifying title, but the premise has worked before. Many many times before. It will come down to likeability of the main character and I'm sorry the Golden Boy is not as golden as his name would imply.
The Job - Apprentice in Uniforms. Too meager a concept. I do see some gaining interest when the premise is stitched down and when certain job types become the focus, but 2 out of 12 shows that resound with audiences is not enough to renew. Even if it costs them millions less.
Made in Jersey - An Ally McBeal for the 21st century. Exactly. Funny, quirky, love-lorn office politics? That work environment just doesn't jive with current status quo.
Partners - Thanks Modern Family. Your inclusion of Gay Parents has had it's own genre bubble. Sadly for 'Partners', it's neither the funny or prescient one.
Vegas - This will have some fervent fans. A small rabid group who may potentially take on-line signatures to keep it afloat. They may succeed temporarily, but it will not be filming a 100th episode.
Arrow - They've had success with Smallville but every other attempt at humanizing superheroes has fallen waay short. Written by drama-oriented writers means even more boring emotionally 'taut' situations and less meat-and-potatoes action.
Not to mention centering it around a less popular hero to begin with. Green Lantern, I could see. Even Green Hornet. But Green Arrow?
Beauty and the Beast - Totally personal, but I do not see the attraction with woman falls for beast storylines. Hopefully women are stronger and more self-loving these days.
The Carrie Diaries - Prequel to sex in the city. But taking out the most popular thing about the previous show, the Sex, and adding in gossiping girls, pretty little liars and revenge. Blah.
Emily Owens, M.D. - Hospital dynamics are no different than HighSchool? Ummm... really? Did the 6+ years of college teach you nothing? Sorry, too stupid to be licensed. Or renewed.
Ben and Kate - Raising Hope retread. But missing the outrageousness of regular folks factor. I actually think this might fly at first, it has the tone of a magic-moment in television, with it's new and seasoned actors and production that is as varied.
The Following - The premise is golden, the actors are popular, the producers are artists... so why will it be cancelled? Because it will be expensive. With all the big names money will be an issue and only a certified blockbuster will warrant a renewal. They need 10 million to break even, and that will not be reached, for at least a year or more.
The Goodwin Games - Nearest story-likeness: King Ralph. Posing loving family members against each other for the chance to live life a life of wealth? I couldn't care less.
The Mindy Project - This show is already the butt of many jokes from writing, producing, casting and title changes. A product of too many cooks in the kitchen.
The Mob Doctor - Seriously? How remote is this premise? A chest doctor solves the medical emergencies of the very people she despises. Another spin on good women making bad decisions. What is wrong with series creators these days?
1600 Penn - Normal family life within the White House is an oxymoron. I don't see a situation where the audience will feel connected, ever.
Animal Practice - Office in a hospital, with animals. *eyeroll*
Chicago Fire - In order for it to last it will have to be gritty and realistic. My thought is that they'll go the Grey's Anatomy route and try to sex it up. This won't fly these days.
Do No Harm - The ultimate self-sabotage storyline, but this time with a man at the center. Will people care to watch his inner-demons wrestle with each other, kill many many people and not wish that he would do us all a favor and commit suicide?
Go On - This is the closest Matthew Perry has come to being in a potentially successful post-'friends' show. With that being said, it all rests on his shoulders and he has weak shoulders.
Guys With Kids - I watched this and it is NOT funny. But I also thought the same thing about 2 Broke Girls and look what that lead to.
Infamous - A Revenge Rip-Off. I don't care if it is different in tone, or even quality, it will not be considered a hit as it will NOT perform better than the original base-material.
Next Caller - With Dane Cook on the cast, it's pretty much a forgone conclusion.
So, with that out of the way, it looks like the following shows may actually see their contracts renewed, if not temporarily.
Last Resort - A renegade nuclear power off the coast of a corrupt America? Prescient? Yes. Believable? Possibly. It's biggest obstacle at the moment is to either cut down the cost, or amass huge audiences. While the promos aren't exactly forthcoming with storyline, they sure do focus on adventure and action. Could do well.
Nashville - A bigger better 'Country Strong'. With Callie on the writing team, expect strong female characters. With Connie Britton playing one of those strong female characters look for multiple emmy nominations. Let's hope not just women are interested in this concept.
The Neighbors - Every so often, alien comedies come along and succeed. However, as to why they don't ever illicit genre rip-offs is beyond me. ALF, successful; 3rd Rock, successful; Mork and Mindy, successful; My favorite Martian, successful. The Neighbors? Successful. Look forward to at least a couple of years of clapping above your head, to denote the change in appearance.
Friend Me - Horrible Title. But even 'You Got Mail' was good. Not as good as 'Sleepless in Seattle' but nevertheless ratings were good. I suspect the same thing for Friend Me. The popularity of the show rides on the connection between Mintz-Plasse and Braun.
Cult - Even though there is another 'Cult' related series premiering (see "The Following") this is more connected to the current social-networking frame of the spread of information and overall seems more apt to catch the eye of viewers. Luckily for them the CW doesn't require reaching 10s of millions of viewers in order to be judged successful.
Crossbones - Pirates on TV?! Sign Me Up! A genre which may very well lead into it's own rip-offs next season.
The New Normal - Funnier, more current and wittier writers than Partners. More appealing characters (Yes, even the bigoted grandmother, Ellen Barkin.) and even Nene Leakes is tolerable. Perhaps not the fervent fandom of Glee, but will definitely be nominated come award season.
Revolution - Completely on the fence about this one. Pedigree is huge but the promise of something exciting and new is unknown. Add to that sloppy promos and a non-concise premise and it spells feast or famine. We either buy it totally or are so turned off by the hype it goes the 'John Carter' route.
They'll have to pare down the budget to make it work long-term. We'll have to be connected to the family drama and with over-emoters like Giancarlo Esposito and Billy Burke it's unlikely to happen. But it could happen.
And speaking of, some new syndicate offerings...
Steve Harvey - A doofus with a mic. An hour long, 'let's laugh at the pitiable host'. Interviews are a joke (about the host), honest reactions are overly scripted and edited. This is a bad show and Ellen should be embarassed for all the dual promos she did to help promote his show.
Jeff Probst - Promising. He's strong enough in character to not stoop, yet he's also extremely approachable and watchable. No doubt he's a good interviewer, if not a bit too inquisitive. But in this age of full revelations it fits well. It will depend on whether we are really more apt to tune in for celebrities or relatively regular people. Because he is definitely aiming for the regular people.
and is anybody watch Totally Biased with W Kamau Bell?
This show is good. Real good. We may very well be looking at our new Bill Maher.