LAST EDITED ON 12-09-14 AT 10:06 AM (EST)I have to disagree with the Natalie "was negligible in the pre-merge game." Her twin, Nadiya, was the first boot, which threw her some sympathy quite early; even Missy was on board with the "wow, losing your twin like that has got to hurt bad." As well, she was quite vocal when John Rocker's past came out, and succeeded in what could be considered her first revenge move on trash-talking to motivate the John Rocker boot.
Admittedly, though, her story took a backseat after the John boot until after the Jeremy boot. (But as I noted above, Josh and Jeremy dominated the pre-jury game, but then became the first and second juror.)
In any event, I have noted over the years that there are a few things common to how jurors vote at the end for a winner. One of those commonalities is that most jurors tend to favor, given the choice, someone from their original tribe. The major exception to that rule is when the initial tribes are determined by gender, male v. female.
As well, each juror always votes however it makes him or her to feel best to vote. This is an extremely gray area, but if you go through the past and the explanations presented, some jurors prefer to give the nod to whoever they believe beat them at the game, some jurors prefer to give the nod to whoever may have the best sob story, some jurors will give their vote to whoever they like the best or consider the friendliest or whatever.
Very difficult to predict, those jurors.
But I will be amazed if Baylor can overcome her negatives and talk herself into a win at final tribal. That would be amazing and awesome.