Interesting that CBS removed this preview from YouTube but they are running commercials this weekend with this same preview.I'm confused though, wouldn't a more straightforward simple result be:
Votes for Hayden: Tyson, Gervase(Immunity), Monica,
Votes for Monica: Hayden, Katie and Ciera
Returnees vs Newbies. We know Tyson doesn't trust Ciera (he said so and played the HII last week). I believe the Next Time On scene of Hayden trying to get Gervase to turn on Tyson is a Red Herring.
Newbies vote for Monica so that a tie will force Tyson to draw a rock since Gervase has Immunity and Monica would be part of the tie. Returnees vote for Hayden for calling out Tyson and trying to get him voted out.
33.3% chance of Newbies winning with Tyson drawing the White Rock.
66.6% chance of Returnees winning with either Katie or Ciera drawing the White Rock.
Now that shocked response is obviously dubbed in but the most shocking result would be for Tyson to draw the White Rock when he had a 66.6% chance of the other two drawing the White Rock.