LAST EDITED ON 04-25-11 AT 02:04 AM (EST)
Agree, but take Matt out of the equation, just consider the RI twist on its own.
Rob doesn't know when someone will be coming back from RI, for all he knows it is at the next duel, or RI could run to the very end with the returnee basically going directly to Final Tribal. It is really pointless to worry about who comes back. Not knowing when means he really cannot afford to start cannibalizing Ometepe before it is necessary, he would shatter his power structure and if someone returned from RI the next morning that player would be able to take advantage of anti-Rob sentiments. The only way Rob can make a premature move against an Ometepe is
1. If the last remaining Zapatera wins individual immunity,
2. To thwart an oust Rob rebellion, or
3. If one Ometepe becomes so much a nuisance that a majority of Ometepe just decide enough is enough.
Basically, Ralph and Steve are goners, it is just a matter of figuring out in which order they get the boot.