Yeah, I could see a 'crazy' TC as sort of a pea-and-shell game to guess who has the HII and who to vote for. Especially if Rob or Ralph win immunity... this would be a crucial vote, and it would be all about information control. My bet is on Ralph not using the HII smartly, or at least getting outsmarted.

I think the Zaps are in trouble, looking at the people, and at the editing. The only player that would be likely to flip, according to foreshadowing, would be Phillip, but his story of conflict last episode seemed to be resolved with him being good with the tribe (the confessional with the immunity idol and the last confessional at the reward). That, to me, bookended his tumultuous 'tribal' time in Survivor and brought resolution that he was solid with his tribe going into the merge.

Matt, for reasons others have stated, won't flip, and nobody else on Ome has been shown to be dissatisfied with anything other than Phillip. Alternatively, the Zaps have been infighting for several episodes.

All this leads me to believe that there will be a Pagonging, straight up, long term. For the short term, this means that a Zap gets eliminated this time. For me, the most likely way for this to happen would be if Ralph wins immunity (or even if he doesn't) and the Zaps try to figure out who the Omes are targeting, and the Omes try to figure out who the Zaps are giving the idol to. If it's all about information control, and there are 2 perceived 'fencesitters' (Phillip and Matt) that the Zaps are trying to woo, I could see the info control favouring the Omes. And if they found out who the Zaps were targeting, they could use Rob's idol as an insurance policy (they could split their vote so a Zap will go regardless). That might be the 'big move' that the game respects, as it would be a much smaller move for Rob to keep his secret (which would be his ace up the sleeve in the individual portion of the game, once his own tribe starts to target him).

So, my spec is that the title quote is either Rob deciding to play his idol (even though it's maybe not necessary or in his interests, it's a big move and the game respects those), or it's Matt coming back and resolving with Rob (ie. 'hey, I voted you out because you were too dangerous at that point', 'well, the game respects big moves, Rob').

Either way, I don't see this going well for the Zaps.