Here are my thoughts on each couple:David & Kym -- should get past the half-way point, but I don't see Kym winning a third time.
Ron & Peta -- one of the first three out.
Chaz & Lacey -- probably also one of the first three out.
Elisabetta & Valentin -- won't get too far.
Kristin & Mark -- might make the finals, but might not either.
Nancy & Tristan -- one unpopular "celebrity" + one unknown pro = one of the first three out.
Rob & Cheryl -- might make the halfway point, might not.
Carson & Anna -- will probably make it past the halfway point but probably won't win.
Ricki & Derek -- they might make the finals -- or might not.
J.R. & Karina -- probably will make the finals unless J.R. is a bad dancer.
Chynna & Tony -- see Rob & Cheryl.
Hope & Maks -- I'll probably vote for them. They'll probably make the finals.