LAST EDITED ON 09-18-16 AT 09:51 AM (EST)

LAST EDITED ON 09-17-16 AT 06:49 PM (EST)

It was fun. Appreciate the discussions. This week, the list is pretty short, and both of you have on the mark observations.

And like Aruba says, even with only three people to go it's really up in the air.

I mentioned this in another place, but I guess it's obvious that the big question is, who will win the next HoH and pick the F2. Or, IOW, will the next HoH judge which way the majority of the jury are leaning.

If I were either James or Nicole I'd pick Paul to go with me to F2. If I were Paul, I'd pick Nicole.

So, odds are two to one that either James or Nicole will win this HoH. If James is F2, IMO, he will win. If Paul and Nicole are F2, it's a coin toss that I think would go to Nicole because of the feminine factor.

Therefore:

Best odds of winning:
James. I agree that he was a lucky guy. And that he made at least one major mistake. But he managed to get to F3, and whether it was cunning (there was some of that), luck (he had good luck and bad luck), or good guesses (again he had good and bad guesses), he was also non-threatening, he handled confrontations like a seasoned professional, and his wit and prankstering were entertaining and might at least win him America's Favorite (I voted for Natalie).

Second best odds of winning:
Nicole. I think she learned from her first season to pace herself. And to pick and use a showmance wisely. She made quite a few mistakes but here she is, at F3, with a puncher's chance at winning. Otherwise I think Michel nailed her (not like that!).

Third best chance of winning:
Paul. Against Nicole he might just pull it out. I dread witnessing his antics and his interviews if he does win because underneath that perceptive and cunning (at times) strategy is an ugly person. He is on a challenge roll, and could get the final wins.

Corey: I think I should be credited with first suspecting that he was throwing challenges, back when he jumped the back and forth challenge. A nice guy, non-confrontational, didn't get into high gear too early (or ever?), and would have been a good bet to win if he had made it to F2. Or F3.

VictorI want to reiterate that after being given three chances to win, and being evicted three times, never learning from his failures, and seemingly never even considering changing his game, Victor has to be the worst game player in the history of Big Brother. He may also holds the challenge record of reentering the game twice, but one can see where that gets one without being able to adapt lessons learned.