LAST EDITED ON 11-18-14 AT 03:14 PM (EST)

LAST EDITED ON 11-18-14 AT 03:11 PM (EST)

Thanks Michel. Some interesting insights.

Some brief thoughts:

I feel that Jaclyn's (clearly spliced and edited) comment "Jon and I have to decide which way to go........ Jon’s thinking really far ahead which is stupid but now, I feel that there is this all up in the air with everything.” is key to understanding this season.

In my opinion it summarized the two styles of play - one being the long-term, inflexible "stick to the plan" approach and one being the "day to day....don't think too far ahead but take your opportunities as they present themselves" approach. I believe that the editors are telling us that the latter is the style of play that will win this season.

So in looking to identify our winner, flexibility and the ability to adapt the plan to changing circumstances (even on a daily basis) will be key.

I certainly think that Missy could be our winner. She is one of my top two contenders. But if I am to assume that making situational decisions well and frequently is key to winning this game, then there are two people who stand out as contenders, our "power couple" "swing votes" Jon and Jaclyn.

And as Jon has already been called out by his girlfriend as stupid this leaves Jaclyn strongly positioned to be named our Sole Survivor.

One caveat. Jaclyn has made more than one reference to Baylor playing both sides. I initially assumed that Baylor would end up betraying her, which could still end up being the case. However, another interpretation could be that ironically the girl that Jaclyn didn't trust ends up facing her in the Final Tribal Council.

You have also made the very valid comment that Jaclyn's underexposure in the first three episodes, despite going to Tribal Council each time, counts against her. However, what if the editors are doing something similar to what they did with Tina Wesson's edit in the second season of Survivor - the "dog that didn't bark" edit that was completely the opposite of Richard Hatch. Tony was such an in-your-face dominant personality and was edited accordingly from the start. Perhaps the winner of Survivor San Juan del Sur will be hidden from the start and slowly be revealed over the course of the season. A question?

I wait for the next episode with interest.