I agree, the Pagonging continues, II is the one factor that alone would change things. Whitney goes first unless she has II. Everyone will be competing in the IC, her chances aren't as good. Dawn goes first if Whitney has II, second unless she wins the second II; Whitney goes second if Dawn goes first. Most likely a memory challenge at TC for the second II.

Who is the outsider among the Upolu who would have to go if they eat one of their own? Well, obviously, Cochran. They may not want to send him to Redemption, but if they leave it until Tribal without a back-up decision beforehand he would run out of luck.

After that it is probably Rick, who is the worker amongst the Upolu, keeps himself as busy as possible, keeps to himself, has been least involved in the strategy game. He is probably very well liked, just doesn't factor into anyone's long game. Then Edna, who has been a bit more of a game factor, but is not considered strong in challenges which could factor into a decision regarding what to do about a Savaii who is just hanging on.

Brandon still has his loose cannon problem, and would be a good choice to send to RI if they become concerned about a returning Savaii challenge champ. But there's time for that later. And Brandon's BS is mainly aimed now at Savaii.

Albert may want to knock Coach off his throne, but Coach has been kinged, has possession of the HII, which is a psychological factor he can use to keep control.