Thanks for doing the tally, dabo. Now, if Corvis isn't too busy this fall, maybe he could possibly come in here and do his D's and T's. I so love that! If he cannot, we certainly understand!

I thought I'd try and come in and differentiate the kinds of confessionals the daws had:

The Stars: As the stars of the show, these players are featured, and most likely will be featured as long as they are in the show...they most likely will have the most confessionals. The classic example was RussHell in his season, and then Rob and RussHell last season.

Ozzy: (7) His confessionals were all about how he was going to change his game this time. He realized albeit late that his tribe did need a leader and provider, can he do it? Ozzy started out with a bang and fizzled.

Coach: (6) Coach started out rocky but landed on top, and sitting pretty. His confessionals were mostly about the vibes he got from his tribemates and how he had to woooo them. Coach 3.0 started out rocky and shined...at least in the first ep.

The semi-celebrities:

Brandon: (5) As the next semi-celebrity, at least according to SEG, he received the next most confessionals. And, every one of his confessionals was about not divulging his heritage and Uncle RUSSHELL. The lone confessional was about the God fearing Christian boy who is afraid of Delijlah.

I think Brandon's story is all about RussHell and how he's different. I think he's setting himself up to be quite a nice little goat-boy. As long as a relative of Russhell's is around, they will aim for someone over me. When he divulges his name, I think he'll be a goat that has legs. BAAAAAAHHHHHH!

Cochran: (5) He is one of Jeff's favorites. He asks can someone be kept around on their basic charm, comedic skills and humor alone? The way he was one of the stars on the first episode, I would bet on it. We know how Survivor loves an underdog, and let's face it, they painted him an underdog with a serious UNDER.

Supporting players:
Dawn: (3) Had a meltdown and we heard it in her confessionals. She also spoke about Bob Marley, Ozzy. She's used to being in charge and a planner. She's telling us she's a leader in RL. Ozzy told us she could be a crucial ally. Can't help but to wonder if these two will align. If Ozzy wants to survive he needs to let someone else lead, at least strategically.

Dawn is also intertwined with Papa Bear (3). He was seen as a very supportive and nurturing character to Dawn and to Cochran. It appears that the three underdogs may stick together? They are all tied together and I wonder if they will bond more so and become a force within their tribe. Cochran needs a mother and a father out there, will Papa Bear and Dawn rise to the occasion? If they joined with Ozzy, they'd have their "Savaii 4", and we all know that Ozzy could power house them through in challenges. As the ones with the most confessionals after Ozzy, I can't help but to wonder...

Jim (3): Jim emerged as a strategic player when he recognized the weak link in the tribe as Semhar, and then noted the opposition from Ozzy. He speculated that perhaps Ozzy wanted to align with her, with all of the girls, and he led the charge to nip that in the bud. He's personable, not too bullying. I think he could be a player. Controlling the vote takes a leader, and he stepped it up. I'm sure that Cochran will owe him some kind of loyalty. He could be a force to be reckoned with. Ozzy went along with him, will Ozzy let him lead the tribe strategically?

I would like to know who talked/swayed Ozzy into voting for Semhar? I would bet that Dawn did, or was it Jim? (Alliances revealed do not succeed, but if they are not shown???)

Players that had confessionals and how they were relevant to the story...

Christine: (2) She had 2 confessionals and they were both all about the idol. Wouldn't surprise me if she found it....could be her story.

Stacey: (2) She got one of the first confessionals. It said she was going to be nosey. Then she said she probably wouldn't recognize the clue if she was staring right at it, and we saw that that is just what happened. A nosey, clueless player? She could be toast soon, imo. Her confessionals could be her feature in her pre-boot ep???

Edna: (1) Her confessional was admiring Coach. She was used to tell Coach's story. Supporting player...will she align with Coach?

Elyse: (1) One of the first confessionals and it was about her native American ancestors...She was present in the episode. I doubt she is the next boot.

Mikayla: (2) She spoke about Ozzy and Coach in the beginning, and then later about her Tomboy skills. She could be a player. Any of the players could have been chosen to speak about Coach and Ozzy, I'm sure they were all asked about them, but she was chosen...

Rick: (2) Spoke about how ridiculous Coach was as a Dragon Slayer, then about himself in the intro, as a Rancher. While he spoke about ridiculous Coach, I think we saw him fitting in, contributing, and being an asset in the challenge, and getting along with Coach very well. Despite his first impression, will he and Coach align, sure looks like it. I think Rick could last a while and be a big asset. Kind of reminds me of what JT said about the city boy, Stephen, and look how those two ended up.

Sophie (2) Also had 2 confessionals, and one was about Coach, the other was suspicious of Brandon. She seems like a sharp player and I expect her to last a while.
Sitting pretty.

Under the Radar:

0 Confessionals:
Whitney, Keith, Albert

Conclusions from the Confessionals:

At Savaii: I think these players all look to be able to survive to see episode 3. One could argue that Cochran could be next. He asks, can someone be kept around on their basic charm, comedic skills and humor alone? If the answer is no, then he'll be toast. If the answer is yes, then he's going to survive. With the hype Jeff is giving him, and with the first confessional of the show, and being clearly the biggest underdog right out of the gait, I'd bet that Cochran is safe.

I think Dawn, Papa Bear, and Jim are all safe as well. In fact, I would bet that the boot will come from the Upolu tribe next week.

At Upolu: Safe: Coach, Sophie, Brandon, Rick, Albert, Edna, Mikayla.

I think that either Christine or Stacey will be the next boot. I wouldn't be surprised to see Christine find the idol, and then they force her to use it, and either her or Stacey will go. They will split the votes between the two. I think Stacey was set up to be the next boot a la her confessionals...she's nosey, and not observant. Two horrible attributes to start off the game with.

Your confessional tally was a great way for me to listen to the confessionals and what the Survivors had to say. I think I was able to look at the story they are trying to tell more accurately than via my first impressions. Now watch, I'm probably WAYYYYY off base! If Savaii goes to TC, then I'll hang it up!

I also posted this in the editing thread, as I think that that is where it really belongs.