Well, first off, I wouldn't count on what happened last year happening again this year - the odds are against that (not to mention the producers.) After all, if the finales became predictable, then interest in watching them would wane, and that would affect just too many pocketbooks.

As for Simon being surprised about Kris - well, who wasn't? After all, he wasn't even supposed to have made it this far, much less the final two.

I like the David and Goliath comparison; in this case, it couldn't be more appropriate. I just keep picturing Adam singing something like "Whole Lotta Love", and then Kris doing something low-key like "Heartless" (those are just samples because I also don't want to hear any repeats). The differences couldn't be more obvious.

And I wouldn't count on Danny's votes all going to Kris - only the ones who just flat out don't like Adam will go that way. A lot of people were counting on a Danny/Adam finale, so my guess is that a lot of those Danny fans might vote for Adam by default. (Regardless of the packaging, white bread is just not in a lot of people's diets, you know.)

At this point, it looks like the shocking thing might be if the expected result actually happens - which it very well may. After all, the expected winners just won the Amazing Race - so don't be too surprised if, in fact, the 'expected' winner of Idol is just who it's expected to be. (Not that it matters either way, though, because it's obvious that Simon's all but drooling to get Adam signed pretty quickly anyway).