Based on the plethora of clues we've been given all season, I am almost 99% sure that the final will breakdown like this...Third Place = Rob
Second Place = Jenna
Winner = Amber
Here is how I came to these conclusions. As we know, Rob can only finish in third or first based on the editing clues that I explained in that other thresd. Over the past couple of episodes its become obvious that Jenna will not be winning...this is based predominantly on the extensive negative personality editing she has been receiving. Remember, this is All stars, and MB wants a winner that everyone will respect and right now, nobody watching this show respects or likes Jenna. On the other hand, she is playing the part of deserved F2 loser quite well.
Now, some people are arguing that Rob could beat Amber in the F2 or Amber could beat Rob, but I think that discussion is mute and moot because I contend that there is no way we are going to see a Romber F2, no way at all. First of all, the editing has misdirected at a Romber F2 all season long and we all know what that means. Plus, way way too much post boot convo about voting for or against Rob from the booted Survivors...makes me believe that they never actually have to make that decision since he isn't in the F2 anyway.
Also, I don't think Rob could beat Amber in the F2 and since we know that Rob can;t come in second that in itself is enough to eliminate the possibility of a Romber F2.
The main problem with all this speculation and the million dollar question in all of this is this......Does Amber win the F3 IC and dump Rob? Now, I can't rely on editing hints to make my conclusions while at the same time ignoring the biggest editing hint in the show, that being that Amber will win the F3 IC and dump Rob. We've been hit over the head with this scenario from day 1, but we've all been afraid to accept it because of the fact that Rob and Amber are still dating IRL.
But, let's look a little deeper at Mr. Mariano and think about it. Based on his conduct after getting booted in S4 we know that Rob is a very good sport about things and doesn't take things personally that occur in a contest/game. After scrambling 100% in S4 he went out with a smile and good wishes for everyone. I attribute this to the fact that he has a background in organized sports (hockey) and people with a background in sports have a much better time accepting losing than other people...but that's an argument that I'll save for a different post.
Could Rob be such a good sport that he would understand and forgive Amber for doing what she had to do and getting rid of him at F3? I guess that is the million dollar question.
The other alternative is for Jenna to win the F3 IC and get rid of Rob. This made sense a few weeks ago, but now its becoming clear that Amber may walk into the F3 as teh obvious favorite to win the jury vote so why would Jenna do this? Could it be that she is just stupid enough to do something that dumb? Possible, we've seen it before at this point in the game *cough* Lil *cough*
The final alternative is the one we've thought all along...Jenna vs Rob in the F2. But I just don't see either one of them winning the game at this point based on the editing for Jenna and the editing+bootee comments for Rob. Therefore, I am willing to rule out the Rob/Jenna F2.
I had some more thoughts, but I had to interrupt this post about 15 times to do real work so I'll come back and post stuff later as the thoughts come to me.
But, to sum up.....
Amber is gonna win, there will be no Romber F2, therfore, Amber must beat Jenna in the F2.
The only question is who wins the final IC. At this point I'm leaning towards an Amber win with the ultimate betrayal.
Plus, the finale is being hyped as having a shocking ending. What would be more shocking than Amber pulling off the biggest betrayal/move in Survivor history?
As a side note, if Amber does get rid of Rob at F3 and goes on to win she will be worthy of the title of greatest game of Survivor ever played and definitely worthy of being the All star champ.