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"Did Ashley Force Rob to Make the Right Move?"
michel 10812 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-13-11, 04:34 PM (EST)
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"Did Ashley Force Rob to Make the Right Move?" |
Even if he was in control, Rob faced a dilemma going into the end game. Not knowing when someone was returning from Redemption Island, we heard that Rob's initial plan was to keep Grant in order to have both guys together fighting against the returnee.However, seeing that the Ometempo's would be going down to 4 at least before someone came back, Rob should have gone after Grant immediately. Having Grant and one of either Mike or Matt in the F5 meant that Rob was going to have to win the F4 immunity against one of them. Now, if the player returns at the start of the finale, Rob only has to win one of the next two immunities to get rid of his strongest opposition, be it Mike, Matt or Grant...or Andrea! So, the question becomes: Did Ashley, by winning immunity and convincing Rob to get rid of Grant, actually force him to make the right move? Rob said he had been running the numbers in his head for the last few weeks but, unless we only heard part of his confessionals, he really didn't seem to want to eliminate Grant until the last minute. Ashley winning immunity could turn out to be what gave Morono the million dollars!! Yes, he'll still have to get the votes but talk about a "What If?" for the after season if it turns out this way!

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garyc 118 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Blistex Spokesperson"
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05-13-11, 10:29 PM (EST)
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1. "RE: Did Ashley Force Rob to Make the Right Move?" |
When exactly does the RI victor come back into the game? If at final five do you think Ashley can convince Natalie to try to get rid of Rob? Based on what was shown I don't think Grant would have agreed to target Rob.
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iltarion 1791 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Herbal Healing Drugs Endorser"
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05-14-11, 00:06 AM (EST)
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3. "RE: Did Ashley Force Rob to Make the Right Move?" |
LAST EDITED ON 05-14-11 AT 00:13 AM (EST)In that F4, michel, Phillip and Natalie vote for Ashley. She's gone. The only way I see it being an issue is if Phillip had immunity. THEN, he might have the guts to move on Rob. Otherwise, he would be too concerned about the girls both voting for him, and he would vote however Rob told him. I think it is obvious that Rob sees Mike or Matt as the biggest threats. I agree that MIKE is the biggest threat. I don't think Matt wins a majority of the votes after being voted out twice. So, Rob wanted to keep Grant around as insurance against either of those guys. I think Rob believes, correctly, that he could probably beat Grant in a vote if he had to, though he would prefer to not have to. However, that all being said, I do think this was the right move for Rob. Afterall, doesn't Grant have just as good a chance to beat Matt and Mike on RI as he does afterward? Either way, Rob is going to have to deal with Grant, Mike, or Matt at F5. Rob should be hoping for RI to end at F5 because that will give him 2 chances to beat whoever it is that comes back, while the HII should still protect him at F5. And ALL that being said, I think we all know by now that Grant, Mike, Matt, Andrea, and Ashley are ALL non-threats per the editing. By the edit, I would say it is obvious only Rob, Phillip or Natalie have a chance to win, and likely not Natalie either. >
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michel 10812 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-14-11, 00:31 AM (EST)
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4. "RE: Did Ashley Force Rob to Make the Right Move?" |
I've always said you should join us in the editing thread. What I can say here is that I've read editing analysis by different posters that support more than only those 3.
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