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"S30 | Ep 07 | Vidcap Analysis"
tribephyl 12393 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-26-15, 01:49 PM (EST)
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"S30 | Ep 07 | Vidcap Analysis" |
For the deposit of ep 7 vidcaps and the discussion of those same vidcaps.
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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04-01-15, 12:33 PM (EST)
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23. "Let's examine the promos...." |
Let's examine the promos. They likely contain misdirection, but they should also contain a hint or glimpse of the boot as well.1. The preview Promo: Rodney (to Mike at night): Teaming up behind my back, Bro? JP: Rodney feels betrayed by his blue collar family Rodney: People who did me wrong are going to pay for that sh!t JP: But in Survivor, there's always time for revenge (See the 2 tribes arrive at the beach, where the hell is Jeff? as they realize it's merge time and they cheer...) Rodney: I felt extremely disrespected by these blues, so these numbers are done-so... It's all about Rodney, and he is going to exact revenge. If he does, it should be a blue going. Possible targets:
Next Promo:
Shirin: You have merged! Will <camera confessional>: It's kind of tough to know who you can trust. Jenn <camera confessional>: Anything can happen. I'm terrified. Interesting vidcaps: Joe: Will, Will and Rodney:
Mike, Tyler, Rodney, and Kelly(again): Tyler and Carolyn: Hali and Jenn: This commercial seems to be about who you can trust, and whether you are making the right choices on who to trust....Scrambling. Finally the next promo: Shirin: You have merged! <One Big Tribe> Tyler <camera confessional>: My future has changed. I've got new found hope. <One Big Surprise> Dan: We walk back into camp, wait...ohhhh. Carolyn: Are you kidding me? Carolyn <camera confessional>: This is like day one all over again. <Let> Mike <talking to Tyler>: Are you thinking you want to work together? <The> Hali <talking to Tyler>: No collars want to join white collars. <Scrambling> Tyler: Carolyn and I are swing votes. <Begin> Will <camera confessional>: It's kind of tough to know who you can trust. Jenn <camera confessional>: Anything can happen. I'm terrified. Interesting vidcaps: Tyler:
So, basically this promo is ALL about Tyler....but, it ends with this shot: One of Rodney and Will. So, the first promo is ALL about Rodney who is going to exact his revenge. Next promo is about the merge and then how to re-align. Final promo is all about Tyler, but the period at the end is Rodney/Will.
What is misdirection, and what is foreshadowing? We see Rodney vowing revenge. Then we have the merge and now it's scary because you don't know who to trust. We see shots of Joe re-aligning with his no collars, we know Mike is re-aligning with Kelly. I do feel that revenge will be had in the next episode. How, and who?
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tribephyl 12393 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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04-01-15, 01:49 PM (EST)
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25. "RE: Let's examine the promos...." |
Tis why I chose to go with Rodney this week. But the more I think about it, It's looking even likelier that it will be Kelly. Tossing out what Joaquin has said about everything, what's apparent is that Mike did NOT throw the challenge to get rid of Joe. He did it because he wanted to save Kelly. Rodney will want to get revenge for sure and going for Mike's ally will be just what he sees as a fitting piece of revenge.
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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04-01-15, 05:23 PM (EST)
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27. "WWTandCD?" |
If Tyler and Carolyn are the apparent swing voters between the 2 sides, Blues and Reds, then let's step into their shoes and take a walk.First of all, I see Rodney palling around with Will....that's trouble to me. But, Rodney wants to exact revenge. The blues have Mike, Rodney, Dan, Kelly, Sierra. Three guys, 2 formidable, and 2 formidable girls. The reds have Joe, Will, Jenn, Hali + Shirin. Only 1 formidable guy, Will, and some little girls. The odds look better for survival on the red side....imho.
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Sheldor 4640 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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03-26-15, 04:57 PM (EST)
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4. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images" |
"Get A Grip" Challenge- Vanuatu (F: Twila Tanner)
- Cook Islands (M: Ozzy Lusth)
- Tocantins (M: Tyson Apostol)
- Heroes vs. Villains (F: Danielle DiLorenzo)
- South Pacific (M: Ozzy Lusth)
- Blood vs. Water (F: Laura Morett)
- Worlds Apart (TBD)
I don't think any of the heavy men this season can outlast any of the women. Probable Immunity Challenge Winners 09:03 AM 09:09 AM Jenn (Great Form!) + Appears in 2 Press Images after 2 minutes and 8 minutes later and she hasn't moved + Hobbies: Surfing, kickboxing and hiking. + What is your favorite sport? Surfing and hockey. + 22 Years Old Carolyn (Great Form!) + What is your favorite sport? Softball would be my favorite. I played in college and throughout my adult life. + I also love volleyball and soccer. + I work out every day and love to challenge myself by doing Tough Mudders. - 52 Years Old
Sierra + She used to be a Rodeo Barrel Racer! - However she is 6'-1" + Hobbies: Rodeo, basketball, football, hunting and fishing. + What is your favorite sport? Rodeo, basketball and long distance running. + 27 Years Old
Shirin (Great Form!) + What is your favorite sport? Field hockey - 31 Years Old
After 4 Minutes Jenn is still at the top and Tyler, Kelly and Hali are having trouble After 8 Minutes Kelly is near the bottom
After *53* Minutes Joe is struggling at the Top but WHO else is left in the challenge?
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Outsider32 584 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"
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03-27-15, 00:49 AM (EST)
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5. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images" |
Dan and the machete what is he doing with that? Yeah it looks like Jenn, Joe, Carolyn, Sierra, or Shirin will win that challenge.
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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03-27-15, 08:56 AM (EST)
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6. "Shirin ~ doubtful" |
I agree that Jenn, Carolyn, Sierra, Joe may last a while, but Shirin does NOT look good imo....This is at the beginning. She has all the pressure on her feet, and her center of gravity is dragging, her butt. She will NOT last long in this position at all. Women have less upper body strength than men, so they have to rely on their lower body/legs for this challenge. Shirin's legs are NOT doing the work, her feet are, and they are very vulnerable, and her weight is lopsided. She's squatting, not using her legs.....she's not lasting long at all in that position, imo....
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tribephyl 12393 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-27-15, 09:34 PM (EST)
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8. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful" |
I think it's just IC. The Merge itself is the reward.
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michel2 4533 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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03-28-15, 00:47 AM (EST)
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10. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful" |
No one ever got as comfortable on that challenge as Parvati but Ozzy did win it twice. I'd say Joe has a chance but Hali, Jenn and Sierra have to be favorites.
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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03-30-15, 08:32 AM (EST)
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15. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful" |
I don't think studying the form of the winners at any given moment will help to determine a future winner....I think that they have to be flexible and change up their pressure points....??
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Sheldor 4640 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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03-30-15, 12:21 PM (EST)
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16. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful" |
Here are some YouTube videos of the previous "Get A Grip" challenge. All of the winners have used Shirin's form and periodically switch to Sierra's form and sometimes climb back up before resuming Shirin's form. Except for Parvati who for a long time stuck ONE foot into the slot and stood upright holding on with her right arm relieving both her left leg and arm.
Most seasons everyone was either Barefooted or everyone wore shoes.
In Tocantins there was a mix and everyone wearing shoes (except Debbie) dropped first. In Blood vs Water Redemption Island Duel John Cody took off his shoes because he couldn't not get his shoes into the slots on the pole but slipped in his socks. S09 Twilla (Everyone Barefooted) S13 Ozzy (Everyone Barefooted) S19 Tyson (Barefooted) S20 Danielle (Everyone Barefooted) S23 Ozzy (Everyone Barefooted) S27 Laura M. (Everyone Shoes)
This season: Barefooted: Jenn, Joe, Shirin, Carolyn, Hali Shoes: Kelly, Dan, Sierra, Tyler, Rodney, Will Not Shown: Mike I think the winner will be one of the players that are Barefooted and I'm guessing Jenn.
S13 Cook Islands - Ep11 Survivor: Cook Islands - Yul's Theory http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-4ttBVU93w
Everyone Barefooted with ropes to put your feet on. Ozzy wins
S18 Tocantins - Merge Immunity Challenge Survivor: Tocantins - Immunity Challenge: Get A Grip http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47mTYxz2ZdM
Mix of Barefooted and with Shoes 10) 0:?? Stephen (Shoes) 09) 0:?? Joe (Shoes) 08) 0:?? Brendan (Shoes) 07) 0:?? Taj (Shoes) 06) 0:?? Erinn (Shoes) 05) 0:2? J.T. (Shoes) 04) 0:2? Coach (Barefooted) 03) 0:2? Sierra (Shoes) 02) 0:3? Debbie (Shoes) 01) 0:3? Tyson (Barefooted)
S20 Heroes vs Villains - Merge Immunity Challenge Survivor: Heroes vs Villains - Immunity Challenge http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d9rnc-eucvU
ALL Barefooted 10) 0:01 Colby 09) 0:01 Sandra 08) 0:?? Russell 07) 0:?? Rupert 06) 0:20 Amanda 05) 0:40 J.T. 04) 1:30 Jerri 03) 1:35 Candice 02) 1:36 Parvati 01) 1:37 Danielle
S23 South Pacific - Redemption Island Duel Survivor: South Pacific - Redemption Duel: Get a Grip http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bt7ZTT3ULFY
Both Ozzy and Brandon are Barefooted 2) 0:4? Brandon 1) 0:4? Ozzy
S27 Blood vs Water - Redemption Island Duel Survivor: Blood vs. Water - Redemption Duel/Merge: Get A Grip http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LCXlUQXKts
Everyone starts with Shoes on 3) 0:2? John Cody (Shoes which he takes off) 2) 0:2? Laura B. (Shoes) 1) 0:2? Laura M. (Shoes)
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Corvis7 100 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Blistex Spokesperson"
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03-30-15, 05:46 PM (EST)
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19. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images" |
Why Hali? She wasn't someone I was even really considering.
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dabo 26942 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-30-15, 08:12 PM (EST)
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20. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images" |
She shows up in a lot of press photos. Jenn is not likely to consider playing her HII to protect her lieutenant.
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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04-01-15, 08:35 AM (EST)
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22. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images" |
Joe looks pissed. Sheldor, any time stamp on that top one? Please?
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Sheldor 4640 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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04-01-15, 02:01 PM (EST)
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26. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images" |
Flowerpower: I added new time stamps I got from another web page and images to my original post:http://community.realitytvworld.com/boards/DCForumID2/8339.shtml#3 Here is the time stamp for Joe's new Press Image and also included the one 51 minutes later. Day 19 08/22/2014 09:03 AM _0055 Day 19 08/22/2014 09:54 AM _0005 The interesting photo for me is the lone photo of Sierra after the Immunity Challenge Day 19 08/22/2014 11:08 AM _0034 but keep in mind we don't have time stamps for every Press Images so there could easily be more post-IC photos.
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michel2 4533 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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03-28-15, 04:47 PM (EST)
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12. "Weekend Promo" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-28-15 AT 05:10 PM (EST)I don't see the vidcaps yet but we see Will say that it's hard to know who to trust, Jenn saying that she is terrified. We also have: - Mike telling Tyler he wants to work with him. - Hali talking with Tyler, saying "No Collars want to join White Collars". - Tyler in confessional: "Carolyn and I are swing votes." A LOT of focus on Tyler. Either he will emerge as the star of the episode (which I doubt) or he will be making the interview circuit next week.
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Outsider32 584 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"
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03-29-15, 02:16 AM (EST)
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13. "RE: Weekend Promo" |
I might be right about Hali. She may actually be the leader of the alliance who isn't getting the best attention.
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michel2 4533 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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03-30-15, 05:37 PM (EST)
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18. "The Long Version" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-30-15 AT 05:38 PM (EST)Transcript by SurvivorFever.net: Shirin: You have merged! <One Big Tribe> Tyler <camera confessional>: My future has changed. I've got new found hope. <One Big Surprise> Dan: We walk back into camp, wait...ohhhh. Carolyn: Are you kidding me? Carolyn <camera confessional>: This is like day one all over again. <Let> Mike <talking to Tyler>: Are you thinking you want to work together? <The> Hali <talking to Tyler>: No collars want to join white collars. <Scrambling> Tyler: Carolyn and I are swing votes. <Begin> Will <camera confessional>: It's kind of tough to know who you can trust. Jenn <camera confessional>: Anything can happen. I'm terrified. Some additional vidcaps of interest: I think this is the first time since Fiji that they've forced them to rebuild a shelter. In Fiji, it was noticeable that the ones complaining about the lack of accomodations were all the eventual losers. Earl and Yau Man took it in stride. Will it be the same this time? I expect it will be so.
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