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"S30 | Ep 07 | Vidcap Analysis"
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Original message

tribephyl 11411 desperate attention whore postings
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03-26-15, 01:49 PM (EST)
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"S30 | Ep 07 | Vidcap Analysis"
For the deposit of ep 7 vidcaps and the discussion of those same vidcaps.
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  Table of Contents

  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 Post-Show Promo tribephyl 03-26-15 1
   Let's examine the promos.... Flowerpower1 04-01-15 23
       RE: Let's examine the promos.... CTgirl 04-01-15 24
       RE: Let's examine the promos.... tribephyl 04-01-15 25
           WWTandCD? Flowerpower1 04-01-15 27
 S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Sheldor 03-26-15 2
   RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Sheldor 03-26-15 3
       RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Sheldor 03-26-15 4
           RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Outsider32 03-27-15 5
               Shirin ~ doubtful Flowerpower1 03-27-15 6
                   RE: Shirin ~ doubtful kingfish 03-27-15 7
                       RE: Shirin ~ doubtful tribephyl 03-27-15 8
                   RE: Shirin ~ doubtful Sheldor 03-27-15 9
                       RE: Shirin ~ doubtful michel2 03-28-15 10
                           RE: Shirin ~ doubtful Flowerpower1 03-30-15 15
                   RE: Shirin ~ doubtful Sheldor 03-30-15 16
   RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images michel2 03-28-15 11
       RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images dabo 03-30-15 17
           RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Corvis7 03-30-15 19
               RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images dabo 03-30-15 20
   RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Sheldor 03-31-15 21
       RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Flowerpower1 04-01-15 22
           RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images Sheldor 04-01-15 26
 Weekend Promo michel2 03-28-15 12
   RE: Weekend Promo Outsider32 03-29-15 13
 S30 | Ep 07 | 3.28.15 Promo Sheldor 03-30-15 14
   The Long Version michel2 03-30-15 18

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tribephyl 11411 desperate attention whore postings
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03-26-15, 01:50 PM (EST)
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1. "Post-Show Promo"
Vidcaps courtesy of SF
Transcript via Flowerpower

Rodney (to Mike at night): Teaming up behind my back, Bro?
JP: Rodney feels betrayed by his blue collar family
Rodney: People who did me wrong are going to pay for that sh!t
JP: But in Survivor, there's always time for revenge
(See the 2 tribes arrive at the beach, where the hell is Jeff? as they realize it's merge time and they cheer...)
Rodney: I felt extremely disrespected by these blues, so these numbers are done-so...




















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Flowerpower1 652 desperate attention whore postings
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04-01-15, 12:33 PM (EST)
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23. "Let's examine the promos...."
Let's examine the promos. They likely contain misdirection, but they should also contain a hint or glimpse of the boot as well.

1. The preview Promo:

Rodney (to Mike at night): Teaming up behind my back, Bro?
JP: Rodney feels betrayed by his blue collar family
Rodney: People who did me wrong are going to pay for that sh!t
JP: But in Survivor, there's always time for revenge
(See the 2 tribes arrive at the beach, where the hell is Jeff? as they realize it's merge time and they cheer...)
Rodney: I felt extremely disrespected by these blues, so these numbers are done-so...

It's all about Rodney, and he is going to exact revenge. If he does, it should be a blue going. Possible targets:





Next Promo:

Shirin: You have merged!
Will <camera confessional>: It's kind of tough to know who you can trust.
Jenn <camera confessional>: Anything can happen. I'm terrified.

Interesting vidcaps: Joe:

Will, Will and Rodney:


Mike, Tyler, Rodney, and Kelly(again):

Tyler and Carolyn:

Hali and Jenn:

This commercial seems to be about who you can trust, and whether you are making the right choices on who to trust....Scrambling.

Finally the next promo:

Shirin: You have merged!
<One Big Tribe>
Tyler <camera confessional>: My future has changed. I've got new found hope.
<One Big Surprise>
Dan: We walk back into camp, wait...ohhhh.
Carolyn: Are you kidding me?
Carolyn <camera confessional>: This is like day one all over again.
<Let>
Mike <talking to Tyler>: Are you thinking you want to work together?
<The>
Hali <talking to Tyler>: No collars want to join white collars.
<Scrambling>
Tyler: Carolyn and I are swing votes.
<Begin>
Will <camera confessional>: It's kind of tough to know who you can trust.
Jenn <camera confessional>: Anything can happen. I'm terrified.

Interesting vidcaps:

Tyler:





So, basically this promo is ALL about Tyler....but, it ends with this shot:

One of Rodney and Will.


So, the first promo is ALL about Rodney who is going to exact his revenge.
Next promo is about the merge and then how to re-align.
Final promo is all about Tyler, but the period at the end is Rodney/Will.

What is misdirection, and what is foreshadowing?

We see Rodney vowing revenge. Then we have the merge and now it's scary because you don't know who to trust. We see shots of Joe re-aligning with his no collars, we know Mike is re-aligning with Kelly.

I do feel that revenge will be had in the next episode. How, and who?

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CTgirl 7347 desperate attention whore postings
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04-01-15, 01:35 PM (EST)
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24. "RE: Let's examine the promos...."
Thanks for laying this all out FloPo. Joaquin did say that Rodney pulls some crazy sh*t so he may vote with Will and the Red collars. If he gets revenge it would be on Mike and Dan but they aren't really featured. He does, however, know that Mike wanted Kelly saved badly. There is also a lot of attention given to Tyler. How does it fit into the boot story? Swing vote?

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tribephyl 11411 desperate attention whore postings
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04-01-15, 01:49 PM (EST)
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25. "RE: Let's examine the promos...."

Tis why I chose to go with Rodney this week.
But the more I think about it, It's looking even likelier that it will be Kelly.
Tossing out what Joaquin has said about everything, what's apparent is that Mike did NOT throw the challenge to get rid of Joe. He did it because he wanted to save Kelly. Rodney will want to get revenge for sure and going for Mike's ally will be just what he sees as a fitting piece of revenge.
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04-01-15, 05:23 PM (EST)
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27. "WWTandCD?"
If Tyler and Carolyn are the apparent swing voters between the 2 sides, Blues and Reds, then let's step into their shoes and take a walk.

First of all, I see Rodney palling around with Will....that's trouble to me. But, Rodney wants to exact revenge.

The blues have Mike, Rodney, Dan, Kelly, Sierra. Three guys, 2 formidable, and 2 formidable girls.

The reds have Joe, Will, Jenn, Hali + Shirin. Only 1 formidable guy, Will, and some little girls.

The odds look better for survival on the red side....imho.

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03-26-15, 04:05 PM (EST)
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2. "S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
Survivor Worlds Apart
Press Images - Episode 7
Date: 3.26.15

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03-26-15, 04:34 PM (EST)
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3. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
LAST EDITED ON 03-31-15 AT 11:23 PM (EST)

Edited to Add:

From Reality TV Magazine (links get changed to #### so I can't add a link here)
FIRST LOOK| Survivor: Worlds Apart 32 Photos Of The Merge

March 27, 2015 02:50 PM by Ryan Haidet

All of these 32 Photos have EXIF Date/Time information!
Adding more Thumbnail images with Date/Time Stamp

New Date/Time in RED

Only Images 1-25 have "Date Taken" information.
Images 26-53 have been cropped and all EXIF data removed


Day 17 08/20/2014

Day 17 08/20/2014 09:59 AM _0014
Day 17 08/20/2014 09:59 AM _0020
Day 17 08/20/2014 10:00 AM _0019
Day 17 08/20/2014 10:03 AM _0021
Day 17 08/20/2014 10:11 AM _0022
Day 17 08/20/2014 10:12 AM _0001
Day 17 08/20/2014 10:15 AM _0056
Day 17 08/20/2014 12:02 PM _0013
Day 17 08/20/2014 12:45 PM _0018
Day 17 08/20/2014 12:38 AM _0046
Day 17 08/20/2014 12:53 AM _0027
Day 17 08/20/2014 01:24 PM _0024
Day 17 08/20/2014 01:30 PM _0029
Day 17 08/20/2014 01:43 PM _0025
Day 17 08/20/2014 01:51 PM _0031
Day 17 08/20/2014 02:10 PM _0033
Day 17 08/20/2014 03:12 PM _0036
Day 17 08/20/2014 03:28 PM _0048


Day 18 08/22/2014
Day 18 08/21/2014 08:31 AM _0026
Day 18 08/21/2014 08:55 AM _0023
Day 18 08/21/2014 10:10 AM _0028
Day 18 08/21/2014 10:16 AM _0030
Day 18 08/21/2014 10:52 AM _0032
Day 18 08/21/2014 02:26 PM _0037
Day 18 08/21/2014 02:46 PM _0015
Day 18 08/21/2014 02:50 PM _0044



Day 19 08/22/2014
Day 19 08/22/2014 08:50 AM _0008
Day 19 08/22/2014 08:51 AM _0012
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:01 AM _0004
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:01 AM _0007
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:01 AM _0006
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:01 AM _0010
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:02 AM _0016
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:03 AM _0017
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:03 AM _0011
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:03 AM _0055
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:05 AM _0009
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:08 AM _0003
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:09 AM _0002
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:54 AM _0005
Day 19 08/22/2014 11:08 AM _0034
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Sheldor 651 desperate attention whore postings
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03-26-15, 04:57 PM (EST)
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4. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
"Get A Grip" Challenge
  1. Vanuatu (F: Twila Tanner)
  2. Cook Islands (M: Ozzy Lusth)
  3. Tocantins (M: Tyson Apostol)
  4. Heroes vs. Villains (F: Danielle DiLorenzo)
  5. South Pacific (M: Ozzy Lusth)
  6. Blood vs. Water (F: Laura Morett)
  7. Worlds Apart (TBD)

I don't think any of the heavy men this season can outlast any of the women.

Probable Immunity Challenge Winners

09:03 AM 09:09 AM
Jenn (Great Form!)
+ Appears in 2 Press Images after 2 minutes and 8 minutes later and she hasn't moved
+ Hobbies: Surfing, kickboxing and hiking.
+ What is your favorite sport? Surfing and hockey.
+ 22 Years Old


Carolyn (Great Form!)
+ What is your favorite sport? Softball would be my favorite. I played in college and throughout my adult life.
+ I also love volleyball and soccer.
+ I work out every day and love to challenge myself by doing Tough Mudders.
- 52 Years Old


Sierra
+ She used to be a Rodeo Barrel Racer!
- However she is 6'-1"
+ Hobbies: Rodeo, basketball, football, hunting and fishing.
+ What is your favorite sport? Rodeo, basketball and long distance running.
+ 27 Years Old


Shirin (Great Form!)
+ What is your favorite sport? Field hockey
- 31 Years Old

After 4 Minutes Jenn is still at the top and Tyler, Kelly and Hali are having trouble

After 8 Minutes Kelly is near the bottom

After *53* Minutes Joe is struggling at the Top but WHO else is left in the challenge?

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03-27-15, 00:49 AM (EST)
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5. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
Dan and the machete what is he doing with that? Yeah it looks like Jenn, Joe, Carolyn, Sierra, or Shirin will win that challenge.
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03-27-15, 08:56 AM (EST)
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6. "Shirin ~ doubtful"
I agree that Jenn, Carolyn, Sierra, Joe may last a while, but Shirin does NOT look good imo....

This is at the beginning. She has all the pressure on her feet, and her center of gravity is dragging, her butt. She will NOT last long in this position at all. Women have less upper body strength than men, so they have to rely on their lower body/legs for this challenge. Shirin's legs are NOT doing the work, her feet are, and they are very vulnerable, and her weight is lopsided. She's squatting, not using her legs.....she's not lasting long at all in that position, imo....

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03-27-15, 09:30 AM (EST)
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7. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful"
I'd put my money on Sierra. Low body weight and she has those horse riding thigh muscles that should give her the edge.

If being a muscle head was an advantage, I'd give this to Rod.

And oh yeah, Fat Dan is first off. I predict.

So, this is IC/RC, right?

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03-27-15, 09:34 PM (EST)
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8. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful"
I think it's just IC. The Merge itself is the reward.
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03-27-15, 10:38 PM (EST)
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9. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful"
Let's study some of the form of the winners for "Get A Grip"

Vanuatu won by Twilla (far Right)

Cook Islands won by Ozzy (second from Left)

Tocantins: Tyson won (far Right)

Heroes vs Villains: Parvati (far Right) steps down to let Danielle (Middle) win after Candice (far Left) steps down

South Pacific: Ozzy (far Left) beats Brandon Hantz

Blood vs Water: Laura Morett (Middle) outlasts Jon Cody (far Left) and Laura Boneham (far Right)

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03-28-15, 00:47 AM (EST)
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10. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful"
No one ever got as comfortable on that challenge as Parvati but Ozzy did win it twice. I'd say Joe has a chance but Hali, Jenn and Sierra have to be favorites.
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03-30-15, 08:32 AM (EST)
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15. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful"
I don't think studying the form of the winners at any given moment will help to determine a future winner....I think that they have to be flexible and change up their pressure points....??
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03-30-15, 12:21 PM (EST)
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16. "RE: Shirin ~ doubtful"
Here are some YouTube videos of the previous "Get A Grip" challenge.


All of the winners have used Shirin's form and periodically switch to Sierra's form and sometimes climb back up before resuming Shirin's form. Except for Parvati who for a long time stuck ONE foot into the slot and stood upright holding on with her right arm relieving both her left leg and arm.


Most seasons everyone was either Barefooted or everyone wore shoes.

In Tocantins there was a mix and everyone wearing shoes (except Debbie) dropped first.

In Blood vs Water Redemption Island Duel John Cody took off his shoes because he couldn't not get his shoes into the slots on the pole but slipped in his socks.


S09 Twilla (Everyone Barefooted)
S13 Ozzy (Everyone Barefooted)
S19 Tyson (Barefooted)
S20 Danielle (Everyone Barefooted)
S23 Ozzy (Everyone Barefooted)
S27 Laura M. (Everyone Shoes)

This season:

Barefooted: Jenn, Joe, Shirin, Carolyn, Hali
Shoes: Kelly, Dan, Sierra, Tyler, Rodney, Will
Not Shown: Mike

I think the winner will be one of the players that are Barefooted and I'm guessing Jenn.



S13 Cook Islands - Ep11


Survivor: Cook Islands - Yul's Theory
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-4ttBVU93w

Everyone Barefooted with ropes to put your feet on.

Ozzy wins



S18 Tocantins - Merge Immunity Challenge


Survivor: Tocantins - Immunity Challenge: Get A Grip
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47mTYxz2ZdM

Mix of Barefooted and with Shoes

10) 0:?? Stephen (Shoes)
09) 0:?? Joe (Shoes)
08) 0:?? Brendan (Shoes)
07) 0:?? Taj (Shoes)
06) 0:?? Erinn (Shoes)
05) 0:2? J.T. (Shoes)
04) 0:2? Coach (Barefooted)
03) 0:2? Sierra (Shoes)
02) 0:3? Debbie (Shoes)
01) 0:3? Tyson (Barefooted)



S20 Heroes vs Villains - Merge Immunity Challenge


Survivor: Heroes vs Villains - Immunity Challenge
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d9rnc-eucvU

ALL Barefooted

10) 0:01 Colby
09) 0:01 Sandra
08) 0:?? Russell
07) 0:?? Rupert
06) 0:20 Amanda
05) 0:40 J.T.
04) 1:30 Jerri
03) 1:35 Candice
02) 1:36 Parvati
01) 1:37 Danielle



S23 South Pacific - Redemption Island Duel


Survivor: South Pacific - Redemption Duel: Get a Grip
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bt7ZTT3ULFY

Both Ozzy and Brandon are Barefooted

2) 0:4? Brandon
1) 0:4? Ozzy



S27 Blood vs Water - Redemption Island Duel


Survivor: Blood vs. Water - Redemption Duel/Merge: Get A Grip
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LCXlUQXKts

Everyone starts with Shoes on

3) 0:2? John Cody (Shoes which he takes off)
2) 0:2? Laura B. (Shoes)
1) 0:2? Laura M. (Shoes)

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michel2 712 desperate attention whore postings
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03-28-15, 04:44 PM (EST)
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11. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
Doesn't this make for the perfect boot picture? Hit him right in the heart.

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03-30-15, 04:03 PM (EST)
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17. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
Considering his low profile, maybe. On the surface it just means merge tribe, new flag.

If the Blues want to insure they don't reach parity with No Collar, they target a No Collar. Mike's blind spot is the numbers game.

From what I have seen thus far it may be the end of the ride for Hali. But I have a lot more to examine and let percolate.

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19. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
Why Hali? She wasn't someone I was even really considering.
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03-30-15, 08:12 PM (EST)
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20. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
She shows up in a lot of press photos. Jenn is not likely to consider playing her HII to protect her lieutenant.
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03-31-15, 10:49 PM (EST)
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21. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
CBS Added 2 more Press Images!

_0055
_0056

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22. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
Joe looks pissed. Sheldor, any time stamp on that top one? Please?
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26. "RE: S30 | Ep 07 | Press Images"
Flowerpower: I added new time stamps I got from another web page and images to my original post:

http://community.realitytvworld.com/boards/DCForumID2/8339.shtml#3

Here is the time stamp for Joe's new Press Image and also included the one 51 minutes later.

Day 19 08/22/2014 09:03 AM _0055
Day 19 08/22/2014 09:54 AM _0005

The interesting photo for me is the lone photo of Sierra after the Immunity Challenge

Day 19 08/22/2014 11:08 AM _0034

but keep in mind we don't have time stamps for every Press Images so there could easily be more post-IC photos.

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03-28-15, 04:47 PM (EST)
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12. "Weekend Promo"
LAST EDITED ON 03-28-15 AT 05:10 PM (EST)

I don't see the vidcaps yet but we see Will say that it's hard to know who to trust, Jenn saying that she is terrified.
We also have:
- Mike telling Tyler he wants to work with him.
- Hali talking with Tyler, saying "No Collars want to join White Collars".
- Tyler in confessional: "Carolyn and I are swing votes."

A LOT of focus on Tyler. Either he will emerge as the star of the episode (which I doubt) or he will be making the interview circuit next week.

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03-29-15, 02:16 AM (EST)
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13. "RE: Weekend Promo"
I might be right about Hali. She may actually be the leader of the alliance who isn't getting the best attention.
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Sheldor 651 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"

03-30-15, 04:35 AM (EST)
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14. "S30 | Ep 07 | 3.28.15 Promo"
Survivor: Worlds Apart
Episode 7 Promo
Date: 3.28.15

Transcript by SurvivorFever.net:

Shirin: You have merged!

Will <camera confessional>: It's kind of tough to know who you can trust.

Jenn <camera confessional>: Anything can happen. I'm terrified.

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michel2 712 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"

03-30-15, 05:37 PM (EST)
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18. "The Long Version"
LAST EDITED ON 03-30-15 AT 05:38 PM (EST)

Transcript by SurvivorFever.net:

Shirin: You have merged!

<One Big Tribe>

Tyler <camera confessional>: My future has changed. I've got new found hope.

<One Big Surprise>

Dan: We walk back into camp, wait...ohhhh.

Carolyn: Are you kidding me?

Carolyn <camera confessional>: This is like day one all over again.

<Let>

Mike <talking to Tyler>: Are you thinking you want to work together?

<The>

Hali <talking to Tyler>: No collars want to join white collars.

<Scrambling>

Tyler: Carolyn and I are swing votes.

<Begin>

Will <camera confessional>: It's kind of tough to know who you can trust.

Jenn <camera confessional>: Anything can happen. I'm terrified.

Some additional vidcaps of interest:









I think this is the first time since Fiji that they've forced them to rebuild a shelter. In Fiji, it was noticeable that the ones complaining about the lack of accomodations were all the eventual losers. Earl and Yau Man took it in stride. Will it be the same this time? I expect it will be so.

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