LAST EDITED ON 10-15-12 AT 11:49 AM (EST)So far missyae's info has legs.
He spoiled Angie/Roxy/Russ/Zane as pre-merge boots. We figured out with vidcaps and his info regarding a four female alliance (Denise, Katie, Dawson, Dana), that those four Matsing boots had to be the first four boots.
I had been curious about the timing of Dana's medivac and ample time for the four female alliance to form. However, this pic confirms that Denise will have time to spend with Katie, Dawson, and Dana:
So, at this point one would have to expect for ep 5 (based on vidcaps and missyae):
Malcolm to Tandang; Denise to Kalabaw
Dana's medivac
Tandang wins IC
Kalabaw boots Dawson
As Bebo pointed out, Denise is wary of a purple-rock scenario. So, Denise avoiding a tie is one possible way for Dawson's boot.
Other things to keep in mind:
One promo is asking if Jeff Kent can keep his identity secret. We know Dawson knows. So, if Dawson goes, this is the last ep she can bring up Kent's identity.
Katie supposedly votes for Penner at some point. Not sure when that happens. However, according to missyae, Katie is a pre-merge boot as well. If she indeed goes next (once Dana and Dawson are gone), then Katie's vote for Penner happens in ep5 or ep6.