I've never been very good at understanding the motivation of players. Who would have thought S7 would end up Sandra/Lil? That S6 would end up Jenna/Matt, S4 Neleh/Vecepia, S3 MammaKim/Ethan, S2 Colby/Tina?

A possible Scenario:

Scenario 1) Rob seems to have a deal with just about everyone (Sounds like he's been taking lessons from Brian Hedick). But keep in mind the recent theme has been that everyone is paranoid. So, everyone with an alliance with Rob starts to question it and start looking for another deal - even Amber. What was the criticism about Amber is S2? - It's That she failed to realign when she knew she was holding a losing hand. So this time she's learned her lesson. She isn't sure about her alliance with Rob, so she decides to realign with Jenna and Rupert. A/J/Rup vote out Rob then Tom. Leaving a final 3 of A/J/Rup.

At the Final 3 Amber or Rupert either one win and follow the trail laid down by Colby/Lil - take someone you like to the final 2.

Scenario 2) Rupert has immunity. Both power couples lobby Tom. Tom tells A/R he will vote Jenna. (Tom also tells J/R that he will vote Rob).

Rob/Amber think Jennas is really in their pocket and the 3 together can in a blindeside vote Tom out now, and Rupert out next. Oops, Jenna instead votes with Rupert against Rob (they thought Tom would vote with them). This gives us A/R voting Tom, J/R voting Rob, Tom voting Jenna. 2-2-1 tie. Tom knows he's been sold out by A/R and in the revote joins J/R to vote out Rob. Next TC Tom is toast. Amber votes against him because he betrayed her and Rob. J/R vote against Tom because he had lied to them and tried to oust Jenna the week before.

At the Final 3 Amber or Rupert either one win and again follow the trail laid down by Colby/Lil - take someone you like to the final 2.

This is just a couple of possible scenarios. I never thought Lil would win an immunity challenge but she did. I thought Colby would face Keith and he didn't.

WHY will it end up Amber/Rupert? Ask me again in 8 days, I'll know more then.