Mavs...I fully agree with all your points. I especially like Point #9.Point 9 we have Rob's editing as a great player. But we've had great editing before with players that were fun to watch but never even sniffed the final 2. Rob being edited as a great player only means that MB thought the audience would find him entertaining - right up to the point where he's voted off.
Rob has been edited to win it all, the puppetmaster, if you will. There is no way he will win. I believe it is all a set up so that when he falls, we all go YAHOO!It makes for good TV.
In point #8, you feel that Amber can beat Rupert by using her UTR and "cute girl" tactics. This makes sence, but don't you think that her direct connection to Rob may hurt her? Rupert is an all round likable guy and may win votes that way.
I personally hope that your theory is correct. I have always been a fan of Rupert and would love to see him in the final 2. Do you remember the cut on Rupert's arm in the finale of S8? That still has not happened. It could be a clue to watch for as the next episodes unfold.