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PLEASE NOTE: The Reality TV World Message Boards are filled with desperate
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"History shows us that Morgan will vote out a strong guy"
esquire 1095 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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09-29-03, 10:35 AM (EST)
 
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"History shows us that Morgan will vote out a strong guy" |
LAST EDITED ON 09-29-03 AT 12:03 PM (EST)LAST EDITED ON 09-29-03 AT 10:36 AM (EST) This is the 7th version of Survivor. In 4 prior versions, 1 team dominated the challenges in weeks 1 and 2. In each of these cases, the team that did well voted off a strong guy the first time they went to Tribal Counsel. In Australia, Kel is voted off after his team wins the first 2 IC. In Africa, Carl is voted off after his team wins the first 2 IC. In Marquesa, Gabe is voted off first. Jed is voted off in Thailand The teams that have early success seem to get cocky, and often regret the loss of the useful body later on. However, if past behavuior is able to show us anything, then the guys on Drake should be nervous the first time they go TC.
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esquire 1095 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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09-29-03, 01:13 PM (EST)
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8. "RE: That'd be Drake..." |
Oooops. Your right. I meant Drake
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dabo 26942 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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09-29-03, 11:02 AM (EST)
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2. "RE: History shows us that Morgan will vote out a strong guy" |
Historically, the first tribe to go to TC tends to develop a game strategy for who they vote out (though it can be an entirely self-centered strategy as in the case of the Robfather in the Marquesas). The tribe which stays away from the first TC tends to develop a social agenda, and it is stronger the longer they stay away from TC.Morgan is in game mode, failure to perform could be deadly for anyone there. At this point we have to wonder what the core group is in Morgan, that is the only mitigation for failure to perform. As for Drake, the social agenda has set in, whoever has the least friends/most enemies is most in peril. Performance in camp and in challenges is a lesser issue for the Drake, the longer they cruise the more true this will become. "If all machines were to be annihilated at one moment, so that not a knife nor lever nor rag of clothing nor anything whatsoever were left to man but his bare body alone that he was born with, and if all knowledge of mechanical laws were taken from him so that he could make no more machines, and all machine-made food destroyed so that the race of man should be left as it were naked upon a desert island, we should become extinct in six weeks." (Samuel Butler, "Erewhon")
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tamarama 1785 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Herbal Healing Drugs Endorser"
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09-29-03, 11:17 AM (EST)
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4. "RE: History shows us that Morgan will vote out a strong guy" |
That makes alot of sense Dabo -- Winning challenges is not the only reason for a tribe's first boot to be the weakest member -- it is also an easy decision to come by in a group of people that don't know each other & are just starting to sniff out alliances. Vote the weakest person (or biggest trouble maker) and almost no one will disagree with you. However, Drake is no longer in that 'early' situation -- they DO know each other, and alliances are probably fairly jelled by now. They don't necessarily need to make the boot that requires little or no discussion. Heck, they've had arguments already, what's a little brouhaha about a boot? But from the look of it, Drake seems to have the most social issues with the weakest member -- Jon. Virtually all of the women and Rupert have commented on Jon being obnoxious -- and I doubt Shawn & Burton feel much different. Plus, Jon clearly isn't as physical as, well, anyone else in the tribe. (He was wading several feet behind the rest of the tribe when bringing in the RC). Although we really haven't been shown a whole lot of Drake dynamics (except for Rupert/Shawn), to me it looks like Jon is both the Social and the Strength choice for first boot.
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Bebo 21083 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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09-29-03, 11:41 AM (EST)
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6. "RE: History shows us that Morgan will vote out a strong guy" |
Survivor 3 Boran-Clarence or silas,Survivor4-maramau-rob,survivor5-that preacher guy (sorry I couldn't remember his name or the tribes name)survivor 6 girls-Joanna interesting trend Sorry, but I have to contradict some of your first bootees here. S3 - Diane was the first boot for Boran, Jessie the second. They didn't boot a male until post-switch, when they took out Silas. S4 - Peter was the first boot for Maraamu, then Patricia, then Hunter. S3 - John was the name you forgot.  S6 - Janet was the first one voted off by Jabaru, based on weakness and the whole granola bar thing.  Fighting for evil (and neat forums) since 2002
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