dabo,
I'm also taking the Steph "Loser Lodge" spoiler info with a grain of salt, but I think we can surmise that she's a pre-jury boot, by the following analysis:

There is info that these people stay late:
Ted
Clay
Brian
Helen
Jan
Erin
Ken

There is info (mostly Ghandia stuff) that these people go soon (leaving Steph out of the list for just a moment):
Ghandia
Shii Ann
Robb

This leaves Steph, Penny and Jake.

Right now, 9 of these people will be Jury/Finalists, leaving four for Loser Lodge. I don't think anyone will argue that Ghandia and Robb are headed for the Lodge. So two slots need to be filled.

If no swap: Penny and Jake have a strong alliance that should get them into the merge, and likely on the jury. Ergo, Stephanie and Shii Ann are the outcasts.

If a swap: Shii Ann's style will get her in trouble. Again, the influences of "old" SJs could sway against Stephanie, and the new tribe(s) will need an obvious target, a'la Silas in S-III. So Stephanie appears to be out again.

Some other, general thoughts:
I don't agree with sleeeve about the swap working "perfectly" in S-4, but his possibilities for S-5 are good.

I was looking for every reason in the world NOT to consider Ghandia for booting, because it SEEMS so obvious, but by all this process of elimination, it's getting hard to avoid her.

27-25

Contradictions don't exist. If you are faced with a contradiction, check your premises. You will find that one of them is wrong. -- Ayn Rand, Atlas Shrugged