Although I'm not sure it is that good of an idea given the recent actions of these people... I have decided to try and use logic to figure out who will be evicted this week (use logic!?! LMAO ICB).Given the following:
o there are 8 people left
o those 8 are evenly divided between Old Boran's and Old Samburu's
o the tie break rules are based on past votes (and everyone knows this)
o the past votes for those remaining are Lex-6, Tom-3, and Frank-1
o there is only one person with immunity each week
We can safely say that although anything is possible, the most likely strategies would be:
A) four-four split along former tribal lines
B) five-three split involving Brandon + the old Boran
C) 7-1 split against Brandon or Lex
D) Rock, Paper, Scissors... DEATHMATCH (ok maybe not)
If we assume A) then Lex or Tom will be the one to go based on prior votes. Lex is certainly the more likely of the two, because Tom is generally more liked. However if Lex is somehow able to win the IC this week, and the vote goes down 4-4... Tom will be the one evicted.
If we assume B) then Brandon will have decided to vote as a member of the Borans, and there is no person he would rather see leave the game than Frank. If he swaps sides he can ensure that his new friends boot Frank this week and this week only, and if it goes down this way watch him force the issue (becuase of a possible Frank IC win, it is concievable it could be KimP or Theresa... but not likely).
If we assume C) then the people have decided to unite and all former allegences are at the very least suspect.
So that leaves us with Lex and Brandon being the most likely, followed closely by Tom and Frank, and an outside shot at KimP and Theresa. Ethan and KimJ are "logically" safe.
Ok, if those that are not are not "logically" safe... do we have any spoilers that might push us one direction or another?
Dianes friends... appears to have played itself out.
Kelly's chat... nothing that appears overly trustworthy.
Lex being sick... perhaps could be useful?
Tom looses weight... he's already lost a bunch.
"We are Family"... gay alliance? most despised person booted?
Estrogen Alliance... not unless you count Brandon!
LET shown early... probably means it goes down soon?
Preview misdirection... points at Brandon, is he safe?
Face time... no one with more than Lex lately, is he gone?
Brandon's strategy revelation... gone? safe? red herring?
My thinking goes something like this: add Lex being sick, "We are family" refering to the most despised person being voted off, the early LET revelation, face time, misdirection, and a little of everything else, I think LEX goes this week and I think he is voted off 7-1.
Then again, given the lack of logic of these people, option "D" is not all that far fetched!
-ICB
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