I enjoy reading your thoughts Michelle.I wish I had more to contribute, but here's are my thoughts, take them for what they are worth.
All season I've been asking myself - What's the theme this season.
I think the theme for this season is that TAR ISN'T a game of alliances. I think THAT is the reason we were shown the 5 pack alliance, and BAMA's relatively negative edit. That is to say, alliances are going to be inherintly inequitable - there will be givers and takers. So, each team really has to run their own race.
Alliances should only be of a short term nature.
With that in mind I find it interesting that it has been mentioned REPEATEDLY that the Blondes don't have an alliance. Tyler & James have been said to have a loose alliance with Rob and Kim, The six pack had their alliance, only the blondes have lacked an alliance. Or atleast I think that's what the edit is suppose to show.
We've had several comments about an all girl team winning. I think this points directly at Dustin & Kandice. Last seaon we had BJ & Tyler but were reluctant to believe TAR would give them such a positive edit if they had won. But TAR wanted to portray the show as FUN, and they weren't trying so much for a "surprise ending". I think TAR has been dying to have a non traditional team win such as an Older Team, A Mother Daughter team, An All Girl team, etc... If a non traditional team were to win, I don't think TAR would hide them. They would be center stage for the race - Center stage like D/K. I also think they would recieve a positive Edit. TAR want's us to LIKE the team, Particularly if it's not a Guy/Guy, Guy/Girl team. So, I think this excludes Bama.
With the Constant reminders that a Girl/Girl team has NEVER won before, there has to be a payoff. I think D/K wins.
I'd target Rob/Kim for the next elimination, of the 4 left, I can only see them having recieved a redemption edit over the last few episodes with Rob giving Kim props for her strengths after having fought all thru the season.