I haven't followed all the positional tracking ... I'm not good at that stuff.

My thought is that the producers want above all for the twist to last long enough to be memorable. If I were them, I wouldn't cast one of the demographic or lifestyle misfits as saboteur. I would cast someone with the personality to mingle with the herd.

I would not cast Kathy or Andrew, as they both have a great shot at getting voted out because they are different. Although Ragan is mingling well as far as what I've seen, he is older. (I think being the gay guy would work in his favor.)

The most likely person to stay in is a pretty girl who is good at getting along with people. Any of the strong males have the potential to be seen as early threats, but then their alliance was kind of predictable, so it could be one of the big guys, but see next point.

The saboteur should have brains. That leaves out Enzo and probably Lane and Hayden. Brendan has brains that were hidden by "swim coach" -- but then he goes and outs himself, as does Rachel. And they start a showmance, drawing early fire. Annie too is not playing with enough emotional attachment.

Then comes the question of whether CBS would edit Sabo as UTR week one. Both Kristin and Monet were UTR on air. There won't be much impact for the audience if either one is announced, as it will be more WHO?

I lean towards Britney or Matt. Neither is perceived as an athletic threat; both are socializing well. Kathy and Britney have a bit of a tiff going, but I think Kathy is the one hurt by it.

The only thing with Britney is she's let herself be known as the BB expert, right? Sabo really shouldn't reveal having that much knowledge about the show.
Matt is an obvious casting choice if CBS was looking at IQ as a Sabo casting factor.

You tell me if either of them is ruled out by the couch position.
Lastly, IF the Sabo put the lock on, then Sabo knew the blackout would happen, and should have been in a position for a quick exit when it started, certainly not touching anyone. For me that would be the more telling shot to look at.

However, producers could have done the padlock to get the Sabo twist going and make everyone start analyzing who was where, in which case Sabo should have been cozying up to someone. While that is a "not fair" way to start the twist, I wouldn't put it past the producers.

But, to counter that, if they plan to show us footage of what Sabo did as part of the reveal, like they did at the end of The Mole, then Sabo must have done the padlock.

They are so ripping off The Mole with this twist.