Wow, great thoughts everyone; you all beat me to it; I'll end up being redundant.

Just some thoughts and things that stuck out; some as I said are repeating what all of you articulated

Mogo Mogo vs. Chapera - The defensive individualized tribe vs. the offensive cohesive tribe.

There was WAY too much of Chapera's "all for one and one for all" last night that really gave me pause for thought that something will fracture this tribe. The question is will it be each other or something else.

MM on the other hand have 80 million different edgy alliances going on. Who is really with who here? The girls, Kathy/Lex, Lex and the girls, Jerri and Lex? It seems though the two flying by night are Colby and Ethan at this time. Ironic that Colby wanted Hatch off and was integral in this happening and Jerri now indicates Colby is the Hatch of the group. Likewise Shii Ann making a point of noting Kathy's power of Mogo Mogo. Likewise, Colby making note of Lex's game playing.

Kathy interestingly enough has had criticism for anyone who has displayed too much emotional involvement in this game. The irony of this is her past emotionalism herself. Will the very thing she is now being critical of be her nemesis again this time.

Ethan IMO is just standing there with the rope around his neck; his only saving grace (thus far) has been anyone else tightening the noose around themselves first. Ethan is a past winner and has no support staff. He simply is a dead man walking and he reeks of it.

Colby certainly has become edgier this season or what we are seeing of him. His disdain for the strategy employed by Shii Ann seems indicative (if you support editing) that HER type of strategy may go further than HIS type of strategy but that remains to be seen.

And Shii Ann? I still maintain her game play is solely good enough until her vote is no longer needed; in that vein Colby is right BUT he may wish he played the same angle.

Kathy and Lex appear to be the nucleus. It will be interesting to see what happens when they have to face each other and either stick together or betray one another.

Chapera's Happy Tribe has a lot bubbling beneath the surface. Who really IS running this show. From all accounts and the editing, Rob M. is getting the "I'm in charge" death wish. I am amazed every week how much we are being shown by him of how he is ruling the roost and how he is controlling everyone's move. I get vibes that he is going to come down and hard and by the very people he thinks he is lord and master over.

Tom and Rupert and the hedging Tom is feeling. My earlier thoughts commented on Tom's potential insecurity with Rupert coming into the fold may have been confirmed here. After last night it struck me that when it comes down to it, whoever makes the choices (Rob for example) may pay off in choosing Rupert over Tom and Tom's foreshadowing come to fruition.

The alliance of Rupert, Jenna, Amber and Rob. Amber the mouthpiece?? WOW! Who IS calling the shots there? Going back to Rob saying he could trust Amber makes me wonder if Amber plays any part in a Rob downfall and Rupert HOPING he can trust Amber and Rob but KNOWS he can trust Jenna scares me that Jenna will betray Rupert.

As stated Jenna AGAIN the lone person wanting diplomacy instead of competition and being the only one standing there with it. Something very strange on her editing. Like the little engine that could. Her talks of her Saboga time flushed down the toilet to start all over, picked last from Saboga and being the lone voice to not compete. Something is up with her story.

Rupert replaying PI all over again. Again, human nature is very hard to change. His past his haunting him. He is giddy with being approached by the powers of Chapera and is SOOO willing to want to trust them REEKS of PI.

Tom and his disarming hick act again. Again, he misses NOTHING. His weapon is his "good ole boy" act but watch him carefully I say; he doesn't miss a trick.

All in all, I see Kathy and Lex as the holding forces with SA and Jerri as helpful third and fourth wheels. Ethan laying his head on the guillotine and Colby's arrogance being his downfall.

At Chapera, Tom has seemed steady, Alicia is on the fray and with a wrong move could cut her throat, with a RIGHT move could help herself (but timing is everything as we know, SA in Thailand had horrible timing when she made a dictator move) and the newly formed foursome is, at some point, going to head for a major decision for each other.