LAST EDITED ON 04-09-02 AT 11:59 PM (EST)

Well this thread seems like the most appropriate so here's my spec:

1.) The only possible bootees (IMO) this week are John, Kathy and Rob. This is because Vee/Sean have been fading into the background over the past couple weeks, (sure that happened to Frank, and was Kim P. even in the episode she got booted? but that's just another example of how awful S3 was so I'll go on ;) Robert/Tammy/Zoe are still featured as "John's Alliance" and not as themselves, and honestly I'm just going with my own opinion that Paschal/Neleh are not on the menu this week.

2.) Storyline:

John/Rob are currently at war with eachother. This is not a conflict I see resolving itself next week. For my thoughts on the John/Rob issue click here.

We have heard John speak of his plan to destroy the 3 new Maras coming over. As we know, throwing your strategy out on the table is a clear sign that it's not gonna happen, however, that does not mean it will not ever begin.

Kathy/Paschal/Neleh have heard Gina spit venom about Sean/Rob for the last 9 days....there is no way in hell they are suddenly joining forces when they have maybe a day and a half to bond after the merge. (This is factoring in the fact that it looks like there is some kind of challenge the first night where they are still in their original tribes plus the spec that the first challenge will again be one of endurance, and unless it's another breath-holding challenge, it will take half a day off bonding time)

The promo shows us Kathy upset. I do not think this is because she was told "We're gonna pick you off one by one." It's more likely she simply found out about John's "Final 4" alliance.
Now, have we known Kathy to be quiet when something's bothering her? Hell no! Kathy will approach each and every member of Rotu and try to get into an open & honest discussion about what's going on. Now, even if John was lying to Rob when he promised to bring him into the final 7, we have to assume that he's going to notice this and take Kathy as a threat (and possibly as an extra annoyance that he doesn't need)

The way I see it, Kathy's fate depends on Rob - I seriously do not think he will reveal his hand (he knows John plans to vote out K/N/P) this early, with no time to decide whether he can trust her. And as an extra incentive if he lets Kathy go, he can push for an alliance with (passives) Neleh/Paschal and be in control (ex-Mara 3 vs new-Mara 2) without having to worry about someone else (Kathy) vying for leadership.

3.) "Spoilers"

There really aren't any trustworthy spoilers this week (IMO).

- "Kathy Goes" is from some guy who knows some guy who knows Kathy

- The "Cruise-ship" spoiler comes from an anonymous source and is wrong on a few counts. (Room #'s, descriptions, 7 & 8 th boots don't stay together, and I believe it has dates wrong) There is speculation that the dates meant are for the 8th and 9th boots, but I mean this is speculation based on nothing so....

- Gina's "Rob's a great guy" comment - well sure he is. Gina hasn't ever heard Rob talking **** about others - the only person he ever really speaks freely in front of that we've seen is Sean. Rob may have played like a total idiot, like Gina says, but even through that early part of the game he was still liked and trusted.

- "Kathy visits Hunter" see here for some viable explanations of this one.

Anyway, if I've forgotten anything, I'll update but for now, my pick is: (obviously;)

Kathy

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Now let us never speak of S3 again.

Gabriel: "Alright, John go straight! Straight!" - Um, Gabe?

Stop Discrimination Now