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"Dial Idol Rankings"
Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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06-12-08, 01:37 PM (EST)
 
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1. "RE: Dial Idol Rankings" |
LAST EDITED ON 06-12-08 AT 01:46 PM (EST)Do they have the nationwide full count posted anywhere? I'm guessing the sample size is a lot smaller (I'm not in the count as I never got a busy signal) so the results are going to be a lot less accurate. I had this at the end of my voting period, and for AI it doesn't alway match the website so I'm not sure where these numbers are from. Jessica and Will 9.481
Susie and Marquis 8.44
Courtney and Gev 6.314
Chelsie and Mark 3.366
Rayven and Jamie 3.274
Chelsea and Thayne 2.712
Kherrington and Twitch 2.335
Katee and Joshua 1.314
Comfort and Chris 0.498
Kourtni and Matt 0 ETA: Finally got Dial Idol site to give the overall totals. Numbers look like what was on my Dial Idol, for once, but may be because my computer rebooted and I lost my individual data. Sigh Here are the ranks from the site 1-3 Jessica and Will
1-3 Susie and Marquis
1-7 Courtney B and Gev
3-10 Chelsie and Mark
3-10 Rayven and Jamie
3-10 Chelsea and Thayne
3-10 Kherrington and Twitch
4-10 Katee and Joshua
4-10 Comfort and Chris
10 Kourtni and Matt
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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06-12-08, 05:30 PM (EST)
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6. "RE: Dial Idol Rankings" |
LAST EDITED ON 06-12-08 AT 05:31 PM (EST)There may be some validity to them. Dial Idol can only measure busy signals for the people that the dial idol users are voting for. Early in the season it tends to have accuracy problems because depending on where you are you may not get any busy signals. I didn't get a single busy last night. It isn't designed to be a scientific survey of the phone votes. It happens to be able to collect data from people who use it to vote and it is about the only view we have of the phone voting process. Zabasearch claims it measures the text and phone votes for American Idol, but they are always wrong and change their predictions after the show airs and we all know the right answer. I don't know how many SYTYCD people use it to vote compared to American Idol. Anyway, in conclusion. Early in the season it tends to be much less accurate than later in the season when there are lots of busy signals to measure as there aren't many people left. ETA: America rarely shares my taste in talent, so I'm often way off what the vote says the bottom three should be.
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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06-16-08, 08:44 AM (EST)
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8. "RE: Dial Idol Rankings" |
I think it is worth posting them. Just early in the season they aren't going to be all that accurate because there aren't enough busy signals to get a good sample.
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LostAddict 420 desperate attention whore postings
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06-16-08, 09:34 AM (EST)
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9. "RE: Dial Idol Rankings" |
I agree. Even looking back on the past seasons they haven't been very accurate compared to AI.
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pmspml5 3192 desperate attention whore postings
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06-19-08, 06:31 AM (EST)
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10. "RE: Dial Idol Rankings" |
The rankings for week 2 are too close to call - everyone is ranked the same
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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06-26-08, 09:32 AM (EST)
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13. "RE: Week 3" |
All are +/- 4 points so that makes them all read zero unless you scroll over them.Koutni and Matt 3.468
Courtney and Gev 3.228
Katee and Joshua 2.816
Chelsie and Mark 2.218
Comfort and Chris 0.199
Kherrington and Twitch 0.104
Jessica and Will zero
Chelsea and Thayne zero The last two had no busies recorded. # votes cast by Dialidol peeps (who got at least one busy signal) Kherrington and Twitch 5.76K
Katee and Joshua 4.55K
Chelsie and Mark, 4.20K
Courtney and Gev 2.58K
Jessica and WIll 2.53K
Kourtni and Matt 2.20K
Chelsea and Thayne 1.15K
Comfort and Chris 0.79 K
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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06-26-08, 10:23 AM (EST)
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15. "RE: Week 3" |
However I do think the trends are interesting even if not statistically significant.
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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07-03-08, 07:36 AM (EST)
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16. "Top 14" |
Another week where the margin of error is bigger than any score.So here's a look at the trends. Dial Idol Scores and notes from looking at the graphs Kourtni and Matt 1.423 (had spikes in busies during the night)
Coutney and Gev 0.813 (had spikes in busies during the night)
Twitchington 0.746 (started off the night with lots of busies)
Katee and Josh 0.723 (started off the night with lots of busies)
Comfort and Thayne 0.334
Chelsie and Mark 0.292
Jessica and Will 0.146 The last three couples were all really flat in busies all night.
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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07-10-08, 10:12 AM (EST)
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18. "Top 12" |
Margin of Error is in the +/- 4 range so no statistically diference.
We are just seeing trends here. They must be using the AI phone banks with 1/2 the number of people voting, even for AI there didn't seem to be as many busies this year, and if you don't have busies, you don't have data for these predictions.Joshtee 2.268
Gevney 1.99
Marksie 1.58
Willica 0.21
Twitchington 0.035
Thayfort zero Busy percentage graphs, looking at the invervals. Joshtee had two big spikes which seems to indicate they are likely to be safe
Marksie and Gevney both had some spikes, not as high but obviously different from the rest of the pack
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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07-17-08, 11:58 AM (EST)
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21. "top 10" |
Dial Idol
Dancer Busy Percentages (Rank in number of Dial Idol Vote)Courtney 0.79 (2)
Chelsie 0.37 (2)
Kherington 0.35 (4)
Katee 0.21 (1)
Comfort 0 (5) Mark 0.7 (1)
Joshua 0.44 (3)
Twitch 0.42 (5)
Gev 0.21 (4)
Will 0.15 (2) Girls with the east coast voting has zero percent busies recorded, which might make the dialidol score really funny as it looks over time so I put in the Busy percentages above. Courtney had the largest peak
Kherington and Chelsie had double peaks about the same height as Katee's peak Comfort was just SOL for this week in getting any busies, she did get votes from DialIdol users.
So trend-wise it looks like the girls at risk for the bottom two are
Comfort
Kherington
Katee With Comfort likely being the one to go home. for the guys the percentage graphs have the following features Twitch had a huge percent busy at the beginning but was not that impressive the rest of the night.
Joshua started out strong and had some other blips as other voting windows opened
Mark, Gev and Will had a few spikes later in the night with the later voting windows opening, and Mark had a lot of busies at the end, maybe the West Coasters were power voting for him? for the guys the risk seem to be
Twitch
Gev
Will Too mixed to tell who is going home, but Twitch and Gev seem most at risk unless that early voting frenzy keeps Twitch safe.
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings
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07-17-08, 12:20 PM (EST)
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22. "RE: top 10" |
There was a Made in Hawaii (or something like that) sign for Mark in audience last nite...I said he'll get the Jasmine vote
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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07-24-08, 08:38 AM (EST)
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25. "Top 8" |
Graphs and raw numbers aren't adding up (Mark on graphs has no busies at all, but graph may not get all the West coast/Hawaii, I think it does three hours of the night so may not be all inclusive).Here are some numbers Dancer-%Busy Girls
Katee-0.68
Comfort-0.35
Chelsie-023
Courtney-0.19 Guys
Mark 1.47
Twitch 0.31
Will 0.19
Joshua 0.15 Dancer-Votes Girls
Katee-8.29K
Chelsie 4.85K
Courtney 3.59K
Comfort 0.861 K Guys
Mark-6.24K
Joshua-4.56K
Will-3.22K
Twitch-2.89K
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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07-31-08, 07:19 AM (EST)
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27. "Top 6" |
Hey enough busies to finally see some differentiation, but still not a lot.Dial Idol Score Girls (Error is +/- about 4) 7.54 Katee
7.23 Courtney
4.57 Chelsie Guys (Error is +/- about 4) 9.61 Joshua (Ranked 1-2)
7.90 Twitch
5.55 Mark Busy Percentages Girls 6.40% Katee
4.63% Courtney
3.99% Chelsie Guys 9.29% Joshua
7.87% Twitch
6.64% Mark
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Snidget 43862 desperate attention whore postings
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08-07-08, 06:55 AM (EST)
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28. "Top 4 Rankings" |
The margin of error is between 3.5 and 4 for the DialIdol Score13.10 Josh
10.52 Twitch
4.49 Katee
1.19 Courtney Busy Percentages 14.96 Joshua
11.46 Twitch
7.27 Katee
1.17 Courtney Looking at the graphs East Coast/Central start voting. Twitch and Josh start off very high, but Josh's busy percentages hold high longer then Twitch. Courtney and Katee are a lot lower with Katee holding on longer to the busy percentages, but Courtney serging near the end of that voting period when the Mountain Time zone kicks in West Coast Voting. Katee pulled the kinds of numbers Josh and Twitch did in the East Coast. Twitch and Josh were lower wtih Josh getting a lot more busies for longer and Courtney hardly got a blip.
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