I am going to try to analyze what happens the rest of the way based on what the remaining contestants strategy would be.Next week
Sean:Kelly voted for him last week and probably will continue to vote for him. He needs to get rid of her immediately Votes for Kelly
Richard:His strategy is now shifting to the end game. He quietly persuaded everybody to shift votes from Sean to Colleen last week because Sean may be unpopular with the mostly Pagong Jury while Colleen would be a no brainer. He continues with this strategy. Sean and Susan aren't too popular with the Pagong. His best chance in the Final two is to be paired with either. Kelly has two friends in the Jury and they might be able to persuade the rest of the Pagong to vote for Kelly. Rudy isn't disliked as much as Richard by the Pagong. He does not want to be in the final two with Rudy. So Richards best choices are Kelly and Rudy. He has promised Rudy he will be with him till the end. He has to go back on that soon but he doesn't have to do this yet. Kelly is more vulnerable . He goes for Kelly.
Rudy: Richard goes to Rudy with the Kelley choice. Rudy can beat anybody in the endgame except maybe Kelly. He agrees and votes for Kelly.
Susan:irrelevent at this point , probably goes with the alliance.
Kelly: Votes for Sean
Kelly goes.
Episode 13: Part 1.
Richard: Same as last week. He likes his chances best with either Sean or Susan in the final two. Rudy has to go. His agreement with Rudy is history.
Susan: Her best chances are again with Sean or Richard in the Final two. Richard makes sure she knows this too. Rudy has to go.
Sean: Ditto for him but he dislikes Susan for the no balls comment. Richard persuades him to vote for Rudy.
Rudy:Irrelevant at this point. Might vote for anybody.
Rudy goes
Episode 13: Part 2
Sean is the strongest physically of the final three. CBS doesn't want a relatively unattractive schemer to win. They rather have a younger, attractive nice guy finish first. Sean is closer to the new demographics they are desperately to suit. They devise a fairly physical immunity challenge. Sean wins.
Sean has to decide who he wants to be in the final with. Richard or Susan?
Against Susan: he believes he can pull in all the male vote except maybe Greg. He might be able to get Colleen and Jenna too.
Against Richardretty hard to predict. He will probably get Colleen, Gervaise, He will definitely lose Kelly.
I think hell take his chances with Susan and oust Richard.
Richard goes.
Final 2 Sean and Sean
Now its upto the jury
Gervaise- Defenitely Sean (hates Susan)
Greg - Sean
Rudy - Sean - Chauvinist till the end - Would rather see a man winning
Richard- Susan - just got kicked off by Sean
Kelly - Susan
Colleen -Sean - takes harmless Sean over mean Susan
Jenna - ?
Sean wins. CBS is ecstatic. They have got a young good looking nice guy that people can root for. The strike against him was he was stupid with a dumb voting strategy. But his voting strategy has just been vindicated, making him a genius.
Sean gets miffed reading about hearing about his dumb voting strategy when he knows it won out. He calls a radio station and defends it unfortunately he cannot say how well it succeeded. CBS calls and gags Sean , they don't want anybody to know how well the voting strategy worked.
The psychologist or somebody in the production crew comments that it was surprising that the winner was somebody who was adaptable rather that a leader.
Any comments. Of course all this goes out of the window if Sean goes next week.