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"SurvivorBlows Tribe, It's Time to Vote!"
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Original message

SherpaDave 8326 desperate attention whore postings
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12-09-05, 10:39 PM (EST)
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"SurvivorBlows Tribe, It's Time to Vote!"
Sorry this is a bit late, y'all. Been taking care of a feverish four-year-old all day. Everyone should know the general rules by now, so I'll just state the one way in which they differ for the final four. Ready?

Subject line should list the contestants in the order that they will be booted.

For example, if you believe that the contestants will finish out the game alphabetically... ie: Danni will finish in fourth place overall, Lydia will finish in third, and that the jury will choose Steph as the Sole Survivor over Rafe in the final jury selection, your subject line would read: "Danni/Lydia/Rafe/Steph."

Hope everyone enjoyed this season. And happy holidays!

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  Table of Contents

  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni applejack93 12-10-05 1
   Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni gnr4life 12-10-05 12
   Vote change: Steph/Rafe/Lydia/Danni applejack93 12-11-05 29
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni cycles2k 12-10-05 2
   Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni littletown 12-10-05 4
 Danni/Steph/Rafe/Lydia Estee 12-10-05 3
 Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph coolbluepig 12-10-05 5
 Lydia / Rafe / Steph / Danni PepeLePew13 12-10-05 6
 Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni Flowerpower 12-10-05 7
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni Owlster 12-10-05 8
 RE: SurvivorBlows Tribe, It's Time ... esquire 12-10-05 9
 Lydia Rafe Steph Danni emydi 12-10-05 10
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni Myrla21 12-10-05 11
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni vince3 12-10-05 13
 RE: Lydia, Rafe, Danni Steph ADKer 12-10-05 14
 Lydia / Rafe / Steph / Danni bondt007 12-10-05 15
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni strid333 12-10-05 16
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni michel 12-10-05 17
 Lydia, Danni, Steph Rafe unklegilly 12-10-05 18
 Lydia, Rafe, Steph, Danni Surviette 12-10-05 19
 Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni redbeard103152 12-10-05 20
 Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni MJewel 12-10-05 21
 Lydia/Steph/Danni/Rafe willinCal 12-10-05 22
   VOTE CHANGE: Steph, Lydia, Danni, ... willinCal 12-11-05 44
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni JuniorTheorist 12-10-05 23
 Lydia / Rafe / Danni / Stephenie Brownroach 12-10-05 24
 Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni PenMike 12-10-05 25
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni VerucaSalt 12-10-05 26
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni bobstew617 12-10-05 27
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni Round Robin 12-10-05 28
 Lydia * Rafe * Steph * Danni wins dabo 12-11-05 30
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni Outfrontgirl 12-11-05 31
 Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph XC 12-11-05 32
 Lydia / Rafe / Stephanie / Danni Scarlett O Hara 12-11-05 33
 Lydia-Rafe-Stephenie-Danni greg2557 12-11-05 34
 Lydia/Danni/Steph/Rafe Cassandra 12-11-05 35
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni MDSkinner 12-11-05 36
 Lydia/Rafe/Stephanie/Dannie wins! Bravehart 12-11-05 37
 Rafe/Danni/Steph/Lydia kingfish 12-11-05 38
 Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph sylvester 12-11-05 39
 Lydia / Rafe / Stephenie / Danni whoami 12-11-05 40
 Lydia, Rafe, Stephenie, DANNI kircon 12-11-05 41
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni Quiddity99 12-11-05 42
 Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Stephenie Corvis 12-11-05 43
 Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni Bebo 12-11-05 45
 Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph Solitaire 12-11-05 46
 Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph flygirl 12-11-05 47

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applejack93 288 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 00:47 AM (EST)
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1. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
LAST EDITED ON 12-11-05 AT 00:18 AM (EST)

Ooh! First vote! If Steph wins, I'll vomit. Seriously. There'll be spew everywhere.

ETR my sigpic.

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gnr4life 7 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 11:38 AM (EST)
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12. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
It just seems to obvious this year..

more eye candy for me with danni and steph )=


go danni go!

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applejack93 288 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 00:17 AM (EST)
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29. "Vote change: Steph/Rafe/Lydia/Danni"
After viewing ep. 13 again I've decided that Danni can't beat steph in a jury vote. However - Danni has been sending me winning vibes for some time now, and I can't shake her as the winner out of my head. I think Lydia is much more interesting than most people, and I just can't picture her being on the jury. I'm hoping there may be a shake up in the spoiling world - Steph may swap places with Lydia. She isn't going to win - she's a much more logical f2 partner than Danni. then there's that spanish spoiler from way back when - can't shake that from my mind. Danni WILL win (I hope) but I don't think she'll win against steph.
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cycles2k 538 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 02:16 AM (EST)
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2. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
Lovable Lydia - will be sorry to see you go.
Ragged Rafe - you played a great game and deserved F2
Silly Steph - you whined your way to second place
Delicous Danny - you are a deserving winner.

IMO.

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littletown 85 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 04:44 AM (EST)
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4. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
bye
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Estee 57126 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 04:43 AM (EST)
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3. "Danni/Steph/Rafe/Lydia"
I'm all about the worst-case scenario.
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coolbluepig 819 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 06:19 AM (EST)
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5. "Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph"
doing it how i like it to end...

Co0L 3luE P1g: OINK OINK...
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PepeLePew13 26135 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 07:09 AM (EST)
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6. "Lydia / Rafe / Steph / Danni"
Rafe wins F4 immunity and Lydia is booted 3-1.

Danni outlasts Steph and Rafe to take F3 immunity and spends a long time alone to think about her decision, realizes that she has to break a promise to Rafe and pulls him aside to explain her reasoning to try and soothe things over before Rafe goes to the jury all pissed. Danni votes Rafe out.

Danni just keeps things simple in her speech to the jury while Steph brags about how good she's been. The jury rips Steph about 6 new ones.

Jury votes:
Bobby Jon = Danni?
Jamie = Danni
Gary = Danni
Judd = Danni
Cindy = Steph
Lydia = Steph?
Rafe = Danni

Danni wins 5-2.

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Flowerpower 7262 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 09:31 AM (EST)
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7. "Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni"
I think ToT got some GREAT info this season! I think Steph will make a wonderful F2 foe, and I think that Rafe's "mistake free" game is bull-hockey....he made a fatal mistake that costs him the game...Lydia was just plain lucky to get to F4, and really had no business being there, imo. Lucky for her!
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Owlster 49 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 09:38 AM (EST)
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8. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
I think Danni will win in a 5-2 vote.
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esquire 1095 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 09:48 AM (EST)
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9. "RE: SurvivorBlows Tribe, It's Time to Vote!"
Lydia/Rafe/Danni/steph
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 10:36 AM (EST)
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10. "Lydia Rafe Steph Danni"
steph LOSES 4-3 to danni
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Myrla21 30 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 11:23 AM (EST)
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11. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
Although I wish Rafe was the last name to write down, and Steph the first.
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vince3 17341 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 12:23 PM (EST)
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13. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
The only thing that I can add is that I'm anxious to see what the final margin will be (4-3, 5-2, 6-1, or *shock* 7-0). Other than that Steph's gonna be ripped to shreds in the final TC.
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ADKer 143 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 12:46 PM (EST)
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14. "RE: Lydia, Rafe, Danni Steph"
No problem with Danni winning; I just think Steph will win narrowly
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bondt007 3413 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 01:09 PM (EST)
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15. "Lydia / Rafe / Steph / Danni"

...and here's to another spoil-free season for me...
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strid333 2928 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 01:14 PM (EST)
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16. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
The only one I'm sure is that Rafe isn't going first because we saw him with the immunity necklace.
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michel 10958 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 02:00 PM (EST)
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17. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
Rafe made a mistake keeping Danni over Cindy. Jury votes will be
BJ: Danni
Jamie: Danni (?)
Gary: Danni
Judd: Danni
Cindy: Steph
Lydia: Steph (?)
Rafe: Steph (?)
So most likely scenario is Danni 4-3 winner but Steph has a shot!
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unklegilly 4 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 02:14 PM (EST)
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18. "Lydia, Danni, Steph Rafe"
Rafe will win both IC's. He will maintain his loyalty to Steph and take her with him to F@. He will win by a 7-0 jury vote.
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Surviette 124 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 03:17 PM (EST)
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19. "Lydia, Rafe, Steph, Danni"
I think Danni wins with 4 votes and Lydia's vote is finally pivotal! Happy Holidays, it's been fun!
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redbeard103152 466 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 04:36 PM (EST)
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20. "Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni"
In a season that that was hard to figure out in the beginning the end game has became fairly obvious. Great season to watch with many interesting charactors.
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MJewel 1951 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 05:09 PM (EST)
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21. "Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni"
It has been a good season!
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willinCal 193 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 05:36 PM (EST)
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22. "Lydia/Steph/Danni/Rafe"
LAST EDITED ON 12-10-05 AT 05:36 PM (EST)

What I would LIKE to see.

Otherwise, I'm afraid it's Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni. UGH

Edit: Sorry, keep forgetting to omit siggie.

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willinCal 193 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 06:44 PM (EST)
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44. "VOTE CHANGE: Steph, Lydia, Danni, Rafe"
Or Danni, Lydia, Steph, Rafe...
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JuniorTheorist 77 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 05:56 PM (EST)
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23. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
The treacherous Steph will mastermind the Rafe outing (ha!) when she realizes that after she got rid of Lydia, she lost any chance she had of winning. I bet the immunities will be Danni for the first one, Steph for the second.

... There might even be a tie vote in the first vote between Lydia and Steph voting Rafe and Rafe and Danni voting Steph.

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Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 05:56 PM (EST)
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24. "Lydia / Rafe / Danni / Stephenie"
I really think the win could go either way, but here is my take:

Stephenie and Danni were never on the same tribe before the merge. In such F2 scenarios, most jurors are naturally inclined to vote for the person on their own original tribe, assuming the person didn’t screw you over and/or you didn’t outright dislike the person.

So, with that in mind...

Bobby Jon and Danni were on the same tribe all along pre-merge and we were told they were in a final 4 alliance from the beginning. Gary was on a tribe with Stephenie at first, but he will feel more loyalty to Danni since she was there fighting alongside him after the switch and at the merge. Danni never voted against Bobby Jon; she only voted for Gary at his boot TC because he told her to.

Bobby Jon and Gary will vote for Danni to win.

Rafe and Stephenie have been on the same tribe all along and have been in an alliance since the beginning of the game. They’ve worked closely together on boot strategy, always voting for the same person, with Rafe usually directing the boot. Of late Rafe incorporated Danni into his endgame plans, with Danni promising to take him to F2 if she wins F2 immunity. TDT’s spoiler says she reneges on this, which will likely throw Rafe for a loop. Stephenie will never have voted against Rafe.

Rafe will vote for Stephenie to win.

Cindy was briefly on the same tribe as Danni but was never in an alliance with her; she’s been with Stephenie longer and was in a Final 4 alliance with her. They were friendly; Stephenie had no problem with Cindy keeping the car, while others on the tribe did. Stephenie did help to vote Cindy out, but when casting her vote, Stephenie explained that she didn’t want to vote for Cindy but the others were going to vote for her so she would be gone anyway. She will explain this to Cindy during the jury questioning.

Cindy will vote for Stephenie to win.

Jamie was on the same tribe with Stephenie all along. Jamie wanted to get Stephenie out early, and later got on Stephenie’s nerves (and everyone else’s) by getting paranoid. He's been badmouthing her somewhat in interviews, and he may or may not blame her for his boot, but he had much more of connection to Stephenie than he did to Danni, with whom we never saw him interact. Stephenie can truthfully lay the blame for his boot to some degree on the rest of the tribe.

I think Jamie will vote for Stephenie to win.

Lydia had a minor contretemps with Stephenie over the reward issue, and Stephenie has entertained booting her at various junctures, but there is nothing to indicate that they intensely dislike each other. Lydia knows that Stephenie is one of the power players and that she (Lydia) has been on the outside. At the beginning of the game Lydia said to Stephenie, “you’re the reason I’m here!” Is she less starstruck now? Lydia also agreed with Stephenie about Cindy keeping the car. Like Jamie, we’ve not seen Lydia have much interaction with Danni.

I think Lydia will vote for Stephenie to win.

The hardest one is saved for last:

Judd became part of Stephenie’s alliance after the switch and considered himself to be in a Final 2 alliance with her. He shared his reward with her on two occasions. We know how he felt about getting booted, but from his post-show interviews it seems he may not have thought Stephenie betrayed him immediately. He claims he didn’t realize it until he saw the show, which may or may not be true. Like Lydia and Jamie, we’ve barely seen him interact with Danni.

Still, Judd is the most likely to take the F2 to task, and to react negatively to something either one of them says by voting for the other one out of spite. I think Stephenie is more likely to get his goat of the two, so...

I think Judd will vote for Danni to win.

Final tally:

Stephenie 4 / Danni 3

Alternate scenario is that either Jamie or Lydia votes for Danni instead of Stephenie and the final score is Danni 4 / Stephenie 3. But they've not been hyping an "intense" or "shocking" final Tribal Council so I have a feeling the general audience is going to get what they want.

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PenMike 95 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 06:15 PM (EST)
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25. "Lydia/Rafe/Stephenie/Danni"
How appropriate, Stephenie plots and plans to get to the end, but ignores the fact that the jury gets the final say. Danni, who has had the odds against her all the way, manages to "survive" and gets to the end with no one mad at her........she is the sole survivor!
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VerucaSalt 1580 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 07:09 PM (EST)
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26. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
Lydia - The Tool
Rafe - Decision of consequence
Steph - Final Two Foil
Danni - Endured


A great season again with all of you in yet another great season as I always enjoy the journey (in the show and with you )

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bobstew617 723 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 07:53 PM (EST)
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27. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
I do not think the final vote will be close. I just want to see what Judd has to say to Steph at final TC!
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Round Robin 2914 desperate attention whore postings
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12-10-05, 11:49 PM (EST)
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28. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
Steph has pi$$ed too many people off too many times not to lose 4 or 5 jury votes.
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dabo 26942 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 02:26 AM (EST)
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30. "Lydia * Rafe * Steph * Danni wins"
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Outfrontgirl 6830 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 03:38 AM (EST)
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31. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
LAST EDITED ON 12-11-05 AT 03:43 AM (EST)

Oops, I forgot to vote, I guess because I made my mind up on this order weeks ago, based on Phoenix/TDT/ToT spoilers. It was the mid-jury boots that had some questions.

Once the promo came out that the auction had an immunity clue, it was all signed and sealed for me.

As far as who wins, I don't see a slam dunk.
I think Cindy, Lydia, and Rafe will vote Steph even though Cindy may give her a hard time.

BJ and Gary Danni.

Jamie I have a hard time seeing him give a respect vote to someone he called "hitler" who cut him out at least two places before their alliance was supposed to start cannibalizing. So Danni.

To me, Judd is the swing vote. He didn't see one of the votes, and he might have excused Steph, but that I think he'll ask Steph for an accounting on his boot at TC and I can see her confirming the boot, trying to justify, and he won't buy it. So his vote will be anti-Steph rather than for Danni, but I think it'll be for Danni.

I'll go with 4-3, Danni, and Steph'll be walking funny for some time from the reaming she'll get.

ETA This doesn't take into account the "no way in hell I'll vote that a two-season-in-a-row player has earned the million" sentiment. I don't know how much that will factor in. The jurors talk about how they believed that was a huge deal, but is that really a reason to negate that someone made F2? I'm not a Steph fan, but the odds against her getting far 2nd time around were pretty staggering, so why penalize her as having an unfair advantage? I just can't predict how this will impact the vote.

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XC 10 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 04:37 AM (EST)
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32. "Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph"
Opening credits point to a steph win in a steph/danni F2.
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Scarlett O Hara 3439 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 09:00 AM (EST)
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33. "Lydia / Rafe / Stephanie / Danni"
... most predictable season yet!!


Scarlett

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greg2557 166 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 10:23 AM (EST)
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34. "Lydia-Rafe-Stephenie-Danni"
Slim chance Stephenie pulls it off.
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Cassandra 46 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 11:57 AM (EST)
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35. "Lydia/Danni/Steph/Rafe"
Rafe wins in a close vote either 5-2 or 4-3.
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MDSkinner 716 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 12:02 PM (EST)
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36. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
Or, so I hope.
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Bravehart 264 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 01:23 PM (EST)
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37. "Lydia/Rafe/Stephanie/Dannie wins!"
Ooops...forgot to make my picks last week...
Once again, it's been a blast!
Thanks to all the spoilers and speculators! You guys were great this season! It's been a great season because it wasn't really handed to us on a silver platter. It took lots of work to spoil!
See ya next time eh!
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kingfish 20752 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 01:29 PM (EST)
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38. "Rafe/Danni/Steph/Lydia"
A indistinct impossibility.
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sylvester 555 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 03:23 PM (EST)
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39. "Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph"
I really have to agree with BR's reasoning. I think it's a close vote.

Happy Holidays to everyone here, see you next season!

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whoami 2936 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 04:02 PM (EST)
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40. "Lydia / Rafe / Stephenie / Danni"
That the way it will be or not.
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kircon 3323 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 04:17 PM (EST)
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41. "Lydia, Rafe, Stephenie, DANNI"
This season has been extra fun. I have started playing and not lurking. I can't wait untill tonight. I'll get to see my favorite "I never saw it coming" player: Brandon.

Hope your child is feeling better Sherpa Dave. Thank you for hosting this site. May you and your family have a very blessed Christmas.

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Quiddity99 244 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 04:24 PM (EST)
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42. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
Lydia's the easy boot as Rafe wins immunity, as made obvious by the photos.

Rafe is stabbed in the back by Danni when she wins final immunity. His moronic choice of booting Cindy instead of Danni comes back to haunt him.

Danni wins over Steph in a landslide, getting BJ's, Gary's, Jamie's, Judd's, Cindy's and Lydia's votes. Steph gets only Rafe's.

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Corvis 3130 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 05:12 PM (EST)
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43. "Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Stephenie"
LAST EDITED ON 12-11-05 AT 05:12 PM (EST)

I know I am going against the tide here, but I really think Stephenie is going to barely win it. My reasoning is at my blog.

I also just want to say thanks to all the Blows Spoilers who have made this a fun season!

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Bebo 21083 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 06:53 PM (EST)
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45. "Lydia/Rafe/Steph/Danni"
I explained my thoughts on a 4-3 Danni win in the Jury thread.


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Solitaire 103 desperate attention whore postings
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12-11-05, 07:51 PM (EST)
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46. "Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph"
Getting in a last minute vote. I'll probably be eating crow for this, but I just have this feeling that it's a Steph win. I agree with Brownroach's reasoning on the voting lines, although I wouldn't rule out the possibility of Bobby Jon or Judd voting for Steph (but on the flip side, I do think that Jamie could quite easily vote for Danni). Also, in terms of editing, I feel that Danni's been a little too hidden and a bit of a non-entity to be the winner. This season has been the Steph show from the beginning and for good reason. Finally, some people have mentioned Jamie's key quote in episode 1 ("how can I win with her around?") as a sign that he casts the deciding vote against her, but I read it more as a statement that no one else does win because Steph's there.

Anyways, either I'll be right or I'll have egg on my face

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flygirl 159 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Blistex Spokesperson"

12-11-05, 07:55 PM (EST)
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47. "Lydia/Rafe/Danni/Steph"
I think Rafe, Danni and Steph all have good chances to win. And I'll be happy if any of them do win! It's been a fun season, see y'all next time!
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