>anything can happen, i.e.: Alfonso beating Peter. Alfonso is certainly a tough fighter. He'd fought Ishe prior to the show. But, as we discussed previously, a big part of Alfonso's victory was the total shock that he picked Peter. Peter wasn't expecting it, and he had to lose a lot of weight in one day for weigh-in.
Note that we haven't had any upsets since Alfonso's victory in fight 1. The better boxer has won every time.
>Every reality TV show needs a villian and the villian usually goes far.
>You can take that to the bank!
Part of what makes The Contender so fascinating is that it isn't like any other reality show. To stick around, you have to win in the ring. You can't survive merely by getting the villains (e.g., Anthony) to make alliances against the leaders (e.g., Ishe). And you can take that to the bank, too.
There is exactly one way that Anthony could survive: if the second round matchups were chosen by random draw and he got a lucky draw. Of course, that would completely eliminate the show's commercial sponsorship opportunities challenges, so that isn't likely to happen.
As far as Tony's motivation: why would you think that he is more motivated to take care of his kids than Ishe, Peter or Jesse are to take care of their children?