LAST EDITED ON 02-21-01 AT 02:53 AM (EST)This is out there, but here goes.
On the CBS website, in the glossary for the definitions of Kucha and Ogakor the tribe members are listed in the following order:
Kucha: Elisabeth, Michael, Alicia, Kimmi, Rodger, Jeff, Debb, Nick
Ogakor: Jerri, Colby, Tina, Amber, Keith, Maralyn, Mitchell, Kel
Survivor 1 had a pattern in the order that the
Survivors were voted off the island. I looked for this pattern to start forming but doesn't look like its going to, but then I had an idea; maybe they're listed by the number of votes they get, so we'd have:
Kucha: We'd only know that Debb had 7, and no other options yet, other than Nick would get more, which might make him a common target by an alliance that takes several episodes to boot.
Ogakor:
Jerri has one vote against her
Colby, Tina, Amber- none
Keith has 5 (3 the first round, Ep 4, 2 second round)
Maralyn had 5
Mitchell had 6 (one ep 3, 3 the first round ep 4, and 2 second round)
Kel had 7
This works perfectly for Maralyn, Mitchell, Kel:
What this would mean: Keith gets no further votes so he makes it to Final 2 (if this pattern works, a tie for number of votes would put the Survivor booted first further down the list).
This would leave Amber to probably be getting 4 votes, or five and makes it to final 2 with Keith. Tina, either 4 and stays in longer than Amber or 3, etc.
So what if this theory is true:
Nick has no shot of going in Ep 5
Jeff has very little shot of going in Ep 5 unless every other member votes for him, which seems unlikely with the disaray going on.
Keith has no shot of going until Final 2 (only way he doesn't receive another vote)
Jerri would need 3 votes to be voted off most likely, so doubtful it would be her.
I know this is an out there theory, but has potential
Current votes against:
Jerri (1), Colby (0), Tina (0), Amber (0), Keith (5), Maralyn (5), Mitchell (6), and Kel (7)
and all Kucha with (0) except Debb with 7 and listed second to last.
Now, take that theory and create one for opening credits:
The order they appearis
Ogakor: Colby, Maralyn, Keith, Mitchell, Jerri, Kel, Amber, Tina
Kucha: Michael, Alicia, Rodger, Elisabeth, Kimmi, Nick, Debb, Jeff
If you line them up aligning Kel and Debb, 1st and 2nd booted, that aligns Rodger up with Maralyn, and Kimmi up with Mitchell.
Colby-Alicia
Maralyn-Rodger
Keith-Elisabeth
Mitchell-Kimmi
Jerri-Nick
Kel-Debb
Amber-Jeff
Tina-Michael
Thus, I can very likely see Rodger getting 5 votes and being the 2nd Kucha member booted, and Kimmi would be a likely choice for the next Kucha member to go, my guess first after merger, with 5 votes as well.
In the alignment, notice that Keith and Elisabeth line up as well. Keith would have to make Final 2 if this is right and Elisabeth would have the least votes from Kucha, which could mean she flies under the radar and goes far.
Another question: Nick and Amber have gotten by far the least screen time. Maybe this means they are the two ambassadors for the merged tribe giving us a good chance to see them then?