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"Watch out for Tracy"
aquariaqueen 2616 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Survivor-themed Cruise Spokesperson"
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02-29-08, 12:07 PM (EST)
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1. "RE: Watch out for Tracy" |
I was impressed too. I especially liked how she pointed out at tribal council that even without the weakest players, they couldn't win either.Wow....Tracy has the opportunity to do great things. But Chet owes her to get his rear in gear!! "The world is a dangerous place to live; not because of the people who are evil, but because of the people who don't do anything about it" - Albert Einstein
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realitytvfan07 75 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Hollywood Squares Square"
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03-01-08, 01:32 AM (EST)
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8. "RE: Watch out for Tracy" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-01-08 AT 01:36 AM (EST)LAST EDITED ON 03-01-08 AT 01:34 AM (EST) YOU: Last week I credited Cirie with taking full advantage of an opportunity that fell in her lap. ME: I noticed in another thread where you said Cirie's situation fell in her lap. I really have to disagree. The situation both ladies found themselves in is pretty common on shows like Survivor. Someone or some group is always on the outside of the dominant group just hanging on until their name gets written down. Cirie and Tracy flipped the script and ended up in power positions because they recognized and used the power that they had. Many times contestants in those positions just go along with the dominant and accept 5th place or whatever sorry spot gets offered to them. Neither of these women accepted that. They did what they needed to do to get further in the game. Nothing fell in Cirie's lap and Tracy didn't create her situation. Both situations are a regular occurrence on Survivor. These two handled a common predicatment in an uncommon and crafty way.
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realitytvfan07 75 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Hollywood Squares Square"
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03-01-08, 02:05 PM (EST)
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13. "RE: Watch out for Tracy" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-01-08 AT 02:09 PM (EST)LAST EDITED ON 03-01-08 AT 02:06 PM (EST) Describing it the way you did seems to me like Cirie had much more work to do than Tracy. Tracy had 2 other people pulling for her. All she really needed was a few more people to vote her way. She decided to approach the most powerful person and convince him to vote her way. Good move for her. But again she didn't create anything. She didn't create the alpha male conflict between Mike and Joel and that conflict was obvious to everybody at camp. Cirie had no one pulling for her because she was on the outside of 2 alliances and the TC would determine which alliance got the power. Also, there was no obvious conflict at camp for her to play on. Based on a few conversations between Jonathan and Ozzy it seems that they are trading info. It would have been easy to just eliminate Cirie since she was the only person on the outside. And then work from there. But that's not what happened. They voted the way Cirie wanted because she was able to go from what seemed like a no power position to a powerful one. Let's not forget she had no alliances and no supporters at camp. The only offer she got was to take 5th place in a 5 person alliance. And yet almost the entire tribe voted her way. Yea your right there is a big difference. And Cirie's play was way more laudable than Tracy's.
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Aruba 3400 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Car Show Celebrity"
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03-02-08, 08:45 AM (EST)
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15. "RE: Watch out for Tracy" |
>Describing it the way you did seems to me like Cirie >had much more work to do than Tracy. ??????????????????????Actually the way Iltarion described it (and the way I described it in my Love/Hate List #3) it pretty much emphasizes that Cirie didn't do a whole lot. Did she play matchmaker for Amanda to pursue Ozzy??? NADA Did she tell Perv-ati to jump all over James? NADA Did she orchestrate JF boot? NADA Did she create the alliance of four purely by circumstance? NADA Sure looks like a lot of "NADAs" to me! But I will say this...Cirie does deserve credit for taking advantage of favorable sitations. She did it on Exile Island and she's doing it now. Rest assure there have been countless players in the history of Survivor that had opportunities fall in their laps, but due to perhaps ignorance, stupidity, being outwitted, etc. they did NOT take advantage and left the game early. Cirie hasn't made that mistake and it's definitely a feather in her cap. But to say that Tracy "didn't create a situation" is absolutely mind-boggling??? IMHO what I saw in episode #4 was the epitome of creating a situation. Before Tracy's intervention, one of the weaklings (either Chet or Kathy) was going by a 6-3 vote. Even though Joel is a "meathead" I'm assuming he passed first grade math and knows 5 > 3. Tracy created the situation whereby she convinces meathead that 3 > 5. As stated in other posts, I realize this is Joel we are talking about and I wouldn't exactly nominate Tracy for the Nobel Prize in Psychology, but in the scope of the game this was the biggest power move this season.
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michel 10958 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-02-08, 03:15 PM (EST)
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17. "On Game Strategy" |
Game Strategy being my favorite aspect of this show besides its editing, I feel I must jump in. Based on Game Strategy, Tracy's move was more enjoyable than smart. According to her own words, she was third in the line of fire: "Chet's gone and that's one of my votes, then Kathy and then I'm gone." Since there was no immediate danger, the best strategy for someone in a tribe that is divided between 2 leaders is to be a follower. Tracy would have been well served to let the Joel - Mikey rivalry simmer for a while, especially since voting out Chet may have kept them from TC. Once the time came, then Tracy could have chosen her leader, playing the role of king-maker. Instead, she has declared herself the 3rd leader in a hopelessly fractured tribe. Being split 3-3-2 means that any faction is in trouble and with Alexis being in the Jason led faction, Joel may go against Tracy next. Cirie also saw a tribe divided in 2 factions but, either because of editing or by design, the couples alliance had no declared leader. Jonathan was clearly in charge of the other group. Going in that alliance, Cirie would always be the 5th wheel. Going with the couples, not only did she get the F3 all-women's deal, she took over leadership. The vote took all the power away from the other alliance. That type of coup d'état has rarely been successful before the merge, the tribe often falling apart. Just like Ogakor before it when Tina realized her own coup d'état, Malakal has shown they still had good teamwork. So, while Tracy needed more energy, Cirie's move was sounder up to the point of deciding the vote. Cirie's leadership isn't solid because she insisted on Yau Man. That could be her undoing. Now, with a switch, everything needs to get started over.
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Jims02 7407 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-02-08, 04:46 PM (EST)
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18. "RE: On Game Strategy" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-02-08 AT 04:54 PM (EST)I disagree. It's in Tracy's best interest to keep Chet and Kathy (her buffers, so the speak) as long as she can. Especially Chet. As you mentioned, she could probably only survive three Tribal Councils, keeping the status quo. She doesn't have any guarantee that there's going to be a switch, even though there usually is. This puts her in a position where she survives another week and still keeps both of her human shields. Flying too high makes her a risk from people like Jason or Natalie. Still, those kinds of moves only tend to bite people post-merge or close to it. The tribe still sees Chet as their biggest liability by far. The only risk is that they might've sent her home before Kathy, who is unable to play a good social game. She also created a temporary ally in Joel. Joel might see her as a useful ally when needed... Such as a scary tribal switch situation or to knock out Jason, Natalie, or Alexis. That doesn't mean he'll align with her right away, but he might keep her around as a vote he could use. Letting the MikeyB/Joel feud simmer doesn't work either, because the voting results look like Mikey B. was pretty tight with Alexis, Natalie, and Jason. Maybe Joel could've swung any of them later, but it's too early to tell. Based on the fact that only Erik came along with Joel, the voting seem to indicate that Joel wasn't as comfortable with the rest. I can your argument that Tracy isn't in short-term danger with the status quo, but it's extremely risky. She would absolutely need to run into a "Cirie situation" where her single vote would create a majority. Two votes creates more numbers situations where you can swing the vote. It's always tough to talk strategy when you go spoiler-free, because you could so easy be proven wrong the following week. Strategy-wise, I think Tracy's move was the stronger play in the situation.
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michel 10958 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-02-08, 05:51 PM (EST)
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19. "RE: On Game Strategy" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-02-08 AT 05:53 PM (EST)Hi Jims, Natalie voted with Joel against Mikey and we know that Alexis was with Joel when they voted out Mary so she probably was only voting Chet out of protest. Mikey was not a danger to Joel and not even an immediate one to Tracy. They had him cornered, with only Jason as an ally. Joel's main alliance is with Erik, his side-kick, Natalie, a sheep, and Alexis. That could give Tracy a nice spot if the group of 4 needs a swing vote. As leader of a 3-vote block, Tracy is a danger that both Joel and Jason could agree on. With or without Mikey, and forgetting about a switch they couldn't really count on, Tracy is still 3 TC away from next on the block and those 3 TC may come a lot sooner without Mikey. With him, they had a better shot at an immunity run, which is a better buffer.
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iltarion 1791 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Herbal Healing Drugs Endorser"
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03-02-08, 11:23 PM (EST)
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21. "RE: On Game Strategy" |
Actually, if Joel acquiesces to Mikey and boots Chet, one more IC loss could have likely seen Tracy's own head on the chopping block. Joel would be even more inclined to boot the weak, after another loss, and remember that Mikey liked Kathleen. Therefore, he would have likely pushed for Tracy at that point. After another big IC loss, would Joel have wanted to protect her? If you are Tracy, do you want to take that chance? Nah. Chet was a security blanket for her, AND one of her numbers; she could see her own head on the block if she didn't do something now. Props to her for moving when she did. Now, with Chet, Kathleen and Joel all possible allies, Tracy could find herself with some power after the tribal switch. And yes, Cirie had so much work to do. I was tired, sitting at home, just from watching all the work she did. That's Cirie though, the big worker. You never see her sitting around, like on a boat or just sitting near the fire at camp. Ell no, not her. She is always working. Girlfriend needs to take a break! Hahaha!! >
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