No one knows nuthin'! This includes me. <RANT MODE>I don't begrudge MB flinging disinformation at us (that's part of the game). I don't mind if he tweaks us with bogus stills -- but he crosses the line when he screws with the show's chronology. You can create most any impression you want with editing ... especially if you mix and match conversations separated by days. This will come back to haunt MB in SURVIVOR II -- People want a fair chance at guessing, like an Agatha Christie novel. But MB is treating it like that wretched boardgame "Clue" (where there are no hints and anyone could have done it). We don't wanna roll the dice at the last minute to decide Mr. Mustard did it in the study with the polo mallet. We want valid representations from which we can form intelligent deductions.</RANT MODE>
Whew! Now that I've got that off my chest, I can go on with my best "guess", based on the cooked evidence:
Make no mistake. If RUDY pulls this off, I'll be dancing my own version of the "Teletubbie Two-Step". Like most the civilized world, I'm cheering for him -- I just don't think it's gonna happen. Indeed -- I think there is a GOOD CHANCE that RUDY is booted out first (who'd wanna face him in F2?). You know the ol' saying: "Last in, first out".
Anyway, I believe KELLY gets immunity in the 1st IC. This is RICH's dilemma; and it's a biggie. He is forced to target either SUE or RUDY. He'd like to keep RUDY one more round, but then he risks facing before the jury. On the other hand, if he picks SUE he faces a female majority next round and will likely be bumped. I suspect he'll sacrifice RUDY and bank on getting immunity. SUE will certainly target RUDY. Kelly will probably follow suit.
Understand, I think SUSAN and KELLY are much closer than we've been led to believe. I suspect any friction was mostly for show. I take SUE at her earlier word that she wants to target RICH in F3 (with KELLY's help).
I also see KELLY winning the second IC and picking SUE for F2. Maybe SUE winning and picking KELLY. If RICH wins, he'd probably choose SUE for F2 (in which case, my scenario is hosed royally). But, frankly -- I don't see RICH winning the hot coal IC.
KELLY would beat either in front of the jury. She's my choice to win it all (though I'm still rootin' for Rudy).
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