LAST EDITED ON 03-13-02 AT 05:39 PM (EST)

1. The most important thing to spoil is the IC. I was desperately hoping for some Early Show pics or other stuff to show us what the IC will be. It might be an S.O.S., but it could also be a maze, or an obstacle course. Hollow Theory: MB wants to surprise his normal audience, and deceive us spoilers. A third straight Maraamu loss would achieve that.

But the show titles got to me. The fourth one "Winds Of Change", sounds like an unimaginative replay of S-III, and could mean many things. But Occam's Razor, and the third and fourth show titles taken together suggest the simplest solution to me: that Rotu pulls out the IC this time, and Maraamu pulls out the next one.

2. If it were Rotu in TC, then Kathy or Robert are the likely boots. OFG Theory suggests Robert because Kathy is virtually unseen in the previews for this week. But I think it's Maraamu, where Hunter, Gina and Sarah are the most likely candidates. My first thought was that it would be a tie vote between Gina and Sarah. But Gina only got one "moon" shot in the previews. Hunter, however, was clearly agitating Sarah. Also, I remember Dicque's commentaries on S-II: It is social skills that win and lose Survivor. Hunter agitated Rob last time, and Sean doesn't like Hunter as it stands. The "Water Boy" scene still is fresh in my mind.

In lion prides, two males will often collude and drive out the Alpha Male, then share the harem. Also, the real secret to MB, using the Hollow Theory, is telling the difference between when he's leading us AWAY from the truth, and when he's trying to sneak that truth in under our noses. The See-BS site and many of Patricia's interviews that speak so highly of Hunter. And Hunter has not been shown in the glaring light that Kathy, Sarah, John and Robert have been. Shades of Carl and Jessie in S-III, Hunter is just on that edge of our consciousnesses.

3. Last, and certainly not least, is the Varner-X discussion posted by shakestheclown and confirmed by Webby. Maybe I'm falling for a cheap trap, but combined with everything else, it seems huge.

Lastly, I think Rotu characters will be strongly developed this show, since they haven't been the last two shows. And THAT will be MB's in-show misdirection, which he frequently does to keep us on our seats for about 45 minutes. See the show with Frank's dismissal in S-III for an analogous situation.

Swami, come on in and join me in the Summary Lodge. Kick up your feet, enjoy a smooth beverage, and reflect on a job WELL DONE.

*** Contradictions don't exist. If you are faced with a contradiction, check your premises. You will find that one of them is wrong. -- Ayn Rand, Atlas Shrugged