LAST EDITED ON 11-01-01 AT 04:40 PM (EST)

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NOTE: THIS IS NOT THE THREAD WHERE THE MESSAGE BOARD POSTERS VOTE FOR THEIR 'OFFICIAL' PICK. THAT THREAD IS HERE
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OK, another week, another chance to um, BLOW a pick...

Seriously, OK, so we're all in a little bit of a rut here spoiling-wise. You know it, I know it, and MB knows it.

Let's take another look at the Episode 4 TV listing description:

"A member of the Samburu tribe cracks under pressure
as the generation gap continues to split loyalties among the
young and old. Meanwhile 2 members of Boran tribe who are
especially nervous about being the next to be voted out of the
tribe make separate attempts to stay in the game. A trip to the
watering hole becomes a dangerous stand-off with an animal known
to be one of the deadliest in the area."

...so this week it's Boran's turn to scheme, while in the other camp a Samburu cracks (and is there anyone out there who doesn't see LINDA being the one to crack?)

Looking at the challenges, we learned this morning that the netting challenge is apparently the Reward Challenge. If the netting challenge is the Reward Challenge, then that means that the "transport and assemble a little house" challenge must be the Immunity Challenge. If that's the case, Samburu looks to be at a signifcant disadvantage -- not only do they not have Boran's 100 fresh gallons of water, but they also appear to be at a bit of a strength disadvantage. No matter how you look at it, Boran's six overall stack up much better than Samburu's top six in this challenge. ...and if the carrying involves 4 vs. 4, then the advantage most likely tilts even further in Boran's favor.

Therefore, we're picking BORAN to win the Immunity Challenge. If you read our State Of The Spoiling recap yesterday, then you know we have already been saying that if Samburu goes to another council we see LINDA going. Well, since we're picking SAMBURU to go to council, we're picking -- SURPRISE -- LINDA to get the boot tonight.

As our alternate selection, well, we'll say that BORAN loses... in which case we'd see MAMAKIM going. Sorry dangerkitty, the Kelly-featured-on-tonight's-San-Diego-newscast tidbit is very interesting, but we're having a hard time believing that CBS would let them promote it so far in advance.

As far as the Reward Challenge goes, we'll go with the popular pick from the message boards and predict BORAN to also win the Reward Challenge, continuing their impressive comeback (it's amazing what a little water will do for you)

-SB