I went back through this thread to review what all we had in regards to written/spoken words (visual cues often escape me so I didn't review the caps) and something caught my eye that I don't think we've discussed.In the preview Kim has the following confessional:
Kim: (confessional) "I'm not exactly sure how this is about to go down."
One thing that says to me is that Kim isn't in complete and total control because she' expressing doubt about how the vote is going down. If she had a Rob-type control she'd know exactly what's happening.
The other possible explanation for the confessional is that she's not sure how she's going to make what she wants to have happen, happen. What I mean is that, say she wants Troy out, she may be expressing doubt about how she can get the votes to make that happen.
In any case I think it for sure says that she has doubt that her chosen target will for sure go home. Could that be the mis-direction doubt the viewers get so that when Kim's target does go home we're "shocked"? If so, who do we think Kim wants to target?
Thanks to the work of everyone here I'm leaning heavily towards Jay or Troy. Kim's doubt about it happening may be her wondering if she can really get her buddy Chelsea to vote her buddy Jay out. Something to think about?