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I just think it's fun coming up with all of these "possible" ideas. I do think Osten is faking wanting to go home (for whatever reason he may have). But I think we're all pretty sure that Rupie is a victim of the old switcheroo next week = big twist.
But as far as how Osten's "lie" could help him out, I think the Ken situation at Sook Jai, and the Osten situation at Morgan is VERY different. Firstly, Ken was pretty sucky in challenges (I didn't know that was on purpose...he sucked in last stage of the individual challenge against Clay BIG time) AND his team was probably a lot stronger physically (all of the challenges thus far have been physical on S7) than Morgan (especially in comparison to the opposition. Osten is THE man for this tribe. That wasn't the case, as far as I see it, in any other season for any other tribe (maybe Colby) until now with Osten as THE man of Morgan and Rupert as THE man for Drake. Osten will certainly be perceived as an IC threat come merge time, so why wouldn't he try to lie low as long as possible while still contributing "just enough" (as he sees fit)? He's likely thinking "win" (like Brandon in Africa) rather than "place". He probably feels that he can't even get to the jury if he's that big of an IC threat (boot him before he can make an IC run). Granted, he is in the big 4 alliance, but I don't know how strong that alliance is (Osten-Tijuana is probably strongest link on the show, though Tijuana seems to be very much in control of the tribe). Maybe this was his strategy after he saw his team, maybe it developed, maybe it's just a bunch of baloney. But it's fun trying to piece everything together.
I'm still wondering where the quote about the lite starting in ep 2 came from (or where it is...I keep seeing people reference it, but don't think I've seen it yet. That might shed some light into the possibilities (or at least narrow them down).
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
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