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"So what will the twist in tribe dyn..."
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Rain Crow 374 desperate attention whore postings
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11-01-01, 10:54 PM (EST)
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7. "RE: New Twist will save the Game"
Whatever it is, I can hardly wait! The more or less tribal predictability was beginning to be somewhat of a bore. My enthusiasm has now rebounded higher than the mountain the Boran tribe climbed!!! I loved Jeffie's not so subtle hints about tribal math followed by his evil smile and devilish comment to Silas at the end of TC that the Game is always changing, or there's always someting new in the game, or some such statement!!! Then, Silas' village idiot grin made it clear that the comment had gone right over his head. Great TC!

I agree that Silas and Lindsey will soon be sweating bullets. Interestingly enough, I also think that Braaandon and Kim P will be in a world of hurt. Here's why...

It is clear that the tribes are in for a shake and bake of personnel. I am pretty sure that Jeffie or MB will not dictate the actual people undergoing the transfer. Logical procedure since there is 6 and 6 is to vote/draw straws/or whatever for 3 people from each tribe to trade places. It doesn't really matter how the tribes are split, even though it would be fun to figure out. There are only so many ways you can cut this pie and all of them appear to work to the detriment of the Subaru tribe.

Subaru matrix...

If the tribes get to decide, I would bet the GXA alliance would select Frank, Teresa, and weak-ticket Lindsey to go to Boran. The cocky GXA will gamble on getting one or more of the younger Boran members, and they will probaly think they can give the new younsters a necklace and have them join the GXA at the local Mall. They will also think they will have Lindsey as a mole inside Boran...whatever good that might do (ha!).

If they have to do some sort of random chance the split could leave Subaru with either of the following three splits:

GXA 3/OFA 0 or GXA 2/OFA 1 or GXA 1/OFA 2.

No matter how you cut it, Frank and/or Teresa will be able to let the other side know about the votes against Silas and Lindsey. In fact, since it would be in their best interest to do so, they almost certainly will. No doubt they will also reveal how weak Lindsey is and how treacherous and lazy the rest of them are. The Boran tribe is Frank and Teresa's only hope to stay in the game now. Regardless of what happens to F and T, they will almost certainly bond well with any of the Boran folks and will arrange to vote off (at the first opportunity) whichever GXA is most vulnerable.

Boran matrix...sort of...

Boran is another matter entirely due to their solid tribal bonding. Chosing three will be tough. Do they keep the strongest together? Do they try for some balance? Do they select those who will be lease likely to benefit Subaru? They are clearly aware that there is some division in the Subaru tribe, so do they try to plant a young mole? Any psycologists out there who can help chew on this???

If they have to chose, I would guess they would likely send MamaKim, Kelly, and Tom. MamaKim and Tom would bond with either of the OFA left in Subaru and Kelly could be the mole with the younger group. This split would weaken Subaru while giving M,K, and T a pretty good chance at survival. At the very worst it would be a 3-3 split...and none of these Boran members has any votes against them as opposed to Silas and Lindsey.

Ethan, Lex, and Clarence would maintain a solid base at Boran and this would almost force Clarence to walk the straight and narrow to maintain his alliance since he has votes against him and is a known food thief, which would not play well with any OFA members coming to Boran if it were leaked to them. As mentioned, either F or T will bond well with these three guys and will be able to set up a four or five vote alliance to eliminate the GXA intruders to the Boran tribe.

My read is that the GXA is in deep trouble! Can't wait to see what the rest of you think.

There are going to be GREAT episodes comin up!!! I look forward to the rest of you folks' thoughts and speculations. We are in for an interesting week as we wait for next Thursday!

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Table of Contents
  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 So what will the twist in tribe dyn...   anotherkim     11-01-01       
   Swedish switch   AyaK     11-01-01     1  
     RE: Swedish switch   TechNoir     11-01-01     2  
         A Loophole?   IceCat     11-01-01     4  
             Has anyone seen the actual rules......   anotherkim     11-01-01     5  
         RE: Swedish switch   shanana banana     11-01-01     14  
     How About a Legal Opinion...   IceCat     11-01-01     3  
         RE: How About a Legal Opinion...   Outfrontgirl     11-01-01     6  
         Reply   AyaK     11-01-01     8  
             I think Jeff Probst knew about the ...   heresy     11-01-01     11  
                 Division of the Spoils...   IceCat     11-01-01     12  
                 Water Crisis related to Twist?   Rain Crow     11-01-01     13  
                     RE: Water Crisis related to Twist?   dangerkitty     11-02-01     18  
     RE: Swedish switch   esquire     11-02-01     30  
         RE: Swedish switch   TaurusII     11-02-01     37  
   RE: New Twist will save the Game   Rain Crow     11-01-01     7  
     Welcome Aboard Rain Crow...   IceCat     11-01-01     9  
         Sig pic   AyaK     11-02-01     17  
             Heh heh...   IceCat     11-02-01     23  
     RE: New Twist will save the Game   kreon     11-02-01     28  
   RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   Stairway2Dayton     11-01-01     10  
     RE: Tribal Suicide   ivoryElephant     11-02-01     16  
         RE: Tribal Suicide   Krautboy     11-02-01     20  
   Early merge probabaly nixed by toni...   Rain Crow     11-02-01     15  
     Remember the water buffalo...   IceCat     11-02-01     24  
         Good argument!   Rain Crow     11-02-01     27  
         Yes, early merge solves water probl...   Krautboy     11-02-01     32  
             No challenge footage   AyaK     11-02-01     35  
                 No Reward Challenge!   Krautboy     11-03-01     57  
                     Re: Shattered Alliances   IceCat     11-03-01     58  
                     The water problem is no problem   Swami     11-04-01     62  
                         Water is the EXCUSE...   IceCat     11-04-01     64  
                             RE: Water is the EXCUSE...   dabo     11-07-01     76  
                                 RE: Water is the EXCUSE...   Swami     11-07-01     77  
                                     RE: Water is the EXCUSE...   dabo     11-07-01     78  
                                         RE: Water is the EXCUSE...   Swami     11-07-01     79  
                                             RE: Water is the EXCUSE...   dabo     11-07-01     80  
                                         Casting   Round Robin     11-08-01     81  
   First 15 Minutes...   Krautboy     11-02-01     19  
     RE: First 15 Minutes...   Bobbystareyes     11-02-01     21  
     On the Contrary...   IceCat     11-02-01     25  
         Lindsey just seems too pissed to me...   anotherkim     11-02-01     36  
             RE: Lindsey just seems too pissed t...   Loree     11-02-01     46  
             RE: Lindsey just seems too pissed t...   Rudyrox     11-02-01     47  
   What will the twist in tribe dynami...   Slymmer     11-02-01     22  
     Fun idea, but I think...   Rain Crow     11-02-01     26  
         Slymmers idea   weltek     11-02-01     29  
         RE: Fun idea, but I think...   samiam     11-02-01     43  
   RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   zzz     11-02-01     31  
   early merge -- interesting photo fo...   Ogachu     11-02-01     33  
     RE: back to Diane's friends   bondt007     11-02-01     34  
   RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   alleyb     11-02-01     38  
     RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   SurvivorBlows     11-02-01     39  
         RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   Bossman101     11-02-01     40  
     Agreed on one person swap   Outfrontgirl     11-02-01     41  
   Slight "twist" on three tribes theo...   AmberFan126     11-02-01     42  
   RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   Swami     11-02-01     44  
     RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   TaurusII     11-02-01     45  
     Everyone needs to just RELAX!   TODDLJ     11-02-01     48  
         RE: Everyone needs to just RELAX!   anotherkim     11-02-01     49  
             RE: Everyone needs to just RELAX!   TODDLJ     11-02-01     50  
                 The rules etc.   dangerboy     11-02-01     51  
                 RELAX!   Slymmer     11-03-01     56  
                     RE: RELAX!   littlesplitty     11-05-01     66  
         RE: Everyone needs to just RELAX!   heresy     11-06-01     75  
   RE: So what will the twist in tribe...   Wawa     11-03-01     52  
   The one switch   dabo     11-03-01     53  
     RE: The one switch   Outfrontgirl     11-03-01     54  
         RE: The one switch   Outfrontgirl     11-03-01     55  
   New "twist" theory...   Bungler     11-03-01     59  
     GXA in BIGTIME trouble!   Round Robin     11-03-01     60  
         THE BIG FLAW(An Embarassment of Kim...   Rose Red     11-04-01     61  
         RE: GXA in BIGTIME trouble!   Outfrontgirl     11-04-01     63  
             AN EMBARASSMENT OF KIMS and A TRIBE...   Rose Red     11-04-01     65  
                 Lindsey's not the onlu one pissed   Round Robin     11-06-01     67  
                     Check out the vidcap thread   dangerkitty     11-06-01     68  
                         RE: Check out the vidcap thread   Round Robin     11-06-01     69  
   The new twist ?   Swami     11-06-01     70  
     RE: The new twist ?   Outfrontgirl     11-06-01     71  
   Swap includes Water/Food   Sexy Spearchucker     11-06-01     72  
     KIM! KIM! KIM!   Rose Red     11-06-01     73  
     RE: Swap includes Water/Food   zzz     11-06-01     74  

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