LAST EDITED ON 03-22-23 AT 04:58 PM (EST)It seems like a no brainer that one of the 3 players who got swapped (Jaime(Gatu->Soka), Josh(Soka->Tika), Carson(Tika->Gatu)) will get Voted Out.
However, I'm SURE that all 3 probably received (or had a chance to receive) some very POWERFUL Advantage to help them survive the vote. They could even be Immune at the first Tribal Council they attend in their new Tribe.
ALL of the Clues in the Promo Videos seem to be pointing at Josh getting voted out but Josh has not had his Backstory Video yet.
Carson has had Backstory Videos in both Episode 1 and 2 so he could definitely be in trouble but edit wise he seems very safe.
Jaime however now has the FAKE Idol that Matthew made and she had her Video Backstory on the Boat ride at the start of Episode 1. I could see her thinking she will just play her Idol to be safe and then find out it is fake.
There is also this that EW Dalton Ross points out...
Ten of the 12 people VOTED out of their tribe FIRST in seasons 41 through 44 have been women.
S41 Ua Sara Wilson
S41 Luvu Sydney Segal
S42 Taku Marya Sherron
S42 Vati Jenny Kim
S43 Baka Morriah Young
S43 Vesi Justine Brennan
S43 Coco Lindsay Carmine
S44 Ratu Maddy Pomilla
S44 Tika Helen Li
S44 Soka Claire Rafson
Also the Trend of Female, Minority, or LGBTQ early Vote Offs since Season 43...
S43 Vote Off #1: Morriah (Female Minority)
S43 Vote Off #2: Justine (Female Minority)
S43 Vote Off #3: Nneka (Female Minority)
S43 Vote Off #4: Lindsay (Female)
S43 Vote Off #5: Geo (Male LGBTQ)
S43 Vote Off #6: Ellie (Female)
Merge
S43 Vote Off #7: Dwight (Male Minority)
S43 Vote Off #8: James (Male Minority)
S43 Vote Off #9: Ryan (Male Minority)
S43 Vote Off #10: Noelle (Female)
S44 Vote Off #1: Maddy (Female)
S44 Vote Off #2: Helen (Female Minority)
S44 Vote Off #3: Claire (Female LGBTQ)