I feel that Rob ~will~ beat John and that is the story he is being set up for (all the Rob/John conflict has to come to a head at some point) - but I don't see him winning.

He's played a rather pathetic game so far IMO; but John is obviously being set up to go soon:

1.) He's laid his cards out on the table to ~everyone~ in his tribe when there was no reason to. Anyone who we see doing this (and especially when an alliance is lingered on for more than a single episode) usually has their plans blow up in their face.

2.) He's also being a cocky bastard in front of everyone else. I remember Rich was a cocky bastard too, but he also said at one point that it was something he kept in check because it would get him voted out.

3.) His screen time has quadrupled in the past couple episodes....

After John goes, Rob has won the war and is free to go at any point after that the way I see it.

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Now let us never speak of S3 again.

Gabriel: "Alright, John go straight! Straight!" - Um, Gabe?

Stop Discrimination Now