LAST EDITED ON 08-26-08 AT 01:50 PM (EST)I'll play.
Michelle: Dan and Keesha up, with Memphis in reserve. (Jerry gone)
Evictee w/veto used on Dan - Memphis
voting pool - Ollie, Renny, Dan.
Evictee w/veto used on Keesha - Memphis
voting pool - Ollie, Renny, Keesha.
Evictee w/no veto used - Dan.
voting pool - Ollie, Renny, Memphis.
Jerry: Dan and Memphis up, with Keesha in reserve. (Michelle gone)
Evictee w/veto used on Dan - Memphis
voting pool - Ollie, Renny, Dan.
Evictee w/veto used on Memphis - Dan
voting pool - Ollie, Renny, Memphis.
Evictee w/no veto used - Memphis.
voting pool - Ollie, Renny, Keesha.
Memphis w/Michelle or Jerry gone (sub one for the other - J/M):Ollie and J/M, with Renny in reserve.
Evictee w/veto used on Ollie - J/M
voting pool - Ollie, Dan, Keesha.
Evictee w/veto used on J/M - Ollie
voting pool - Keesha, Dan, J/M.
Evictee w/no veto used - Ollie
voting pool - Dan, Renny, Keesha.
Keesha w/Michelle or Jerry gone (sub one for the other - J/M):Ollie and J/M, with Renny in reserve.
Evictee w/veto used on Ollie - J/M
voting pool - Ollie, Dan, Memphis.
Evictee w/veto used on J/M - Ollie
voting pool - Memphis, Dan, J/M.
Evictee w/no veto used - Ollie
voting pool - Dan, Renny, J/M.
Ollie: w/Michelle or Jerry gone (sub one for the other - J/M): Dan and Keesha up, with Memphis in reserve.
Evictee w/veto used on Dan - Memphis
voting pool - J/M, Renny, Dan.
Evictee w/veto used on Keesha - Dan
voting pool - J/M, Renny, Keesha.
Evictee w/no veto used - Dan.
voting pool - J/M, Renny, Memphis.
Renny w/Michelle or Jerry gone (sub one for the other - J/M):Ollie and J/M, with Memphis in reserve.
Evictee w/veto used on Ollie - J/M
voting pool - Keesha, Dan, Ollie.
Evictee w/veto used on J/M - Ollie
voting pool - Keesha, Dan, J/M.
Evictee w/no veto used - Ollie
voting pool - Dan, Keesha, Memphis.
Jerry and Michele might not vote the same, so they might not be interchangeable, but to keep the list manageable I pretend that they would. And, it's logical to assume that they might.
Dan, Keesha and Memphis are at a disadvantage, especially Dan, because Dan isn't eligible for HOH. Memphis would probably vote for Dan if he has to vote on a teammate. But Memphis has something to worry about too, because if push comes to shove, Renny will vote him out over her other teammates. As would Dan.
I see Renny and Keesha as being safe this week because either will likely be up against a bigger target, Dan or Memphis. Except for the double part of the double elimination, which, given the variables in the first elimination, is pretty much a toss up. Who wins HOH for the second half of the double elim? Keesha or Renny? or whoever's left from Ollie and J/M?
It'll be a quick format HOH contest, a Q/A , maybe favoring Michelle (if she's around, and Keesha). I don't see Ollie having much of a chance, at least less so than Memphis.
I'm going to make a guess that J/M go in the first half of the double elimination, with Keesha winning the second HOH and Ollie going in the second half. Then Renny, then Memphis, then Dan winning it all.
I like your "Renny" scenario and I wouldn't mind seeing it come to pass. But realistically I think she isn't up to understanding strategy. She'll follow the leaders (against J/M or Ollie, as she has reluctantly done up to now), or react emotionally against Memphis.