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"A billion to/for one."
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Original message

Estee 56199 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"

03-11-14, 05:58 PM (EST)
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"A billion to/for one."
LAST EDITED ON 03-12-14 AT 11:39 AM (EST)

Warren Buffett would like to make you a little bet. He's gambling that given exactly one chance at it, you can't pick a perfect men's tournament bracket.

If you can, he'll give you a billion dollars.

If you can't, no one will be surprised.

If you hack the contest server, he's gonna be pissed.

So. Anyone up for taking the ultimate full-court shot?

Blindfolded?

While hanging upside-down?

At the exact moment you get struck by lightning?

Good luck.

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  Table of Contents

  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 RE: A billion to/for one. kingfish 03-12-14 1
   RE: A billion to/for one. cahaya 03-12-14 2
       RE: A billion to/for one. kingfish 03-12-14 3
           RE: A billion to/for one. Estee 03-13-14 4
 RE: A billion to/for one. aethelstan 03-18-14 5
   RE: A billion to/for one. byoffer2 03-18-14 6

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kingfish 16928 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"

03-12-14, 11:04 AM (EST)
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1. "RE: A billion to/for one."
Entering is for free, right?

The odds are wrong, but the price is right.

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cahaya 19108 desperate attention whore postings
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03-12-14, 11:52 AM (EST)
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2. "RE: A billion to/for one."
The odds are wrong, but the price is right.

If the games are 50/50, then the odds are 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808.

However, given that most games are not 50/50 (but also very rarely above 80/20), with good selections the odds are roughly about 1 in 128,000,000,000.

This is within the realm of possibility if every person on earth submitted 5-10 brackets and (importantly) all brackets are unique (not the same).

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kingfish 16928 desperate attention whore postings
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03-12-14, 07:46 PM (EST)
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3. "RE: A billion to/for one."
This isn't argument against entering for zero dollars, but is an argument against having any hope of winning. Buffet can figure the odds too, and will never have to pay off.
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Estee 56199 desperate attention whore postings
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03-13-14, 12:57 PM (EST)
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4. "RE: A billion to/for one."
The thing about billion-to-one shots is that if you get, say, fifty million entries together, the odds of someone seeing a check start to go up. Yes, it's almost impossible. Sure, there's really no chance. I've heard of perfect brackets before -- in contests with a lot less in the way of entry limit restrictions. Given one shot...

...well, it's a billion dollars. Why not take one shot?

My major objection is that it's computer-based entry. As a radio commercial once reminded me, the only thing more traditional than filling out a paper bracket is tearing it up. Ever try to rip your hard driver in half?

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aethelstan 4387 desperate attention whore postings
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03-18-14, 09:53 AM (EST)
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5. "RE: A billion to/for one."
Apparently, this is only open to Americans. (not that I had a chance of winning but, as was said before, the entry price was right!)
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byoffer2 12 desperate attention whore postings
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03-18-14, 05:20 PM (EST)
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6. "RE: A billion to/for one."
I'm in, but as a Canadian can only sit on the "doing it for the glory not the $$" couch.

I feel like an amateur at the Masters. Except the amateur has better chances of winning.

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