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"KUCHA CAN STILL WiN , HERE'S HOW:"
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Original message

Ozwatcher 1 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "American Cancer Society Spokesperson"

03-15-01, 11:12 PM (EST)
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"KUCHA CAN STILL WiN , HERE'S HOW:"
The obvious scenario is the Pagonging of Kucha, unless the last Kuchan wins immunity. Colby is the key to the whole game at this point and has the most control, although when down to the final three, he must win immunity to survive.

But Liz could also be in control if she is smart, and she seems desperate to win at all costs. It is inevitable that Nick will get the boot next, The Ogakar breakup will not happen in this episode, Jerri will not get voted out this episode because it would create a 3-3-1 split, with lost Amber very likely to side with Kucha, Nick is the strongest Kuchan left, so he's out.

Now that leaves three alliances:
Colby/Keith/Tina
Jerri/Amber
Liz/Rodger

Liz knowing that she will be out next, since Rodger is catching fish and Tina and Keith obviously likes him, should then try to make her move. She tells Jerri that Colby is playing her, by this time she has had six more days to observe the Ogakar split, and Colby may have slipped and shown dislike for Jerri. She convinces Jerri that Colby is in control and would probably win a final two vote, and Jerri, Amber, Liz and Roger vote Colby(the strongest) out along. Hence the black widow, Jerri turns on Colby.

Liz , while only using Jerri can now turn back to Keith and Tina, and Jerri gets the ousting that everyone is waiting for.
Amber goes next.

Final Four: Liz, Rodger, Keith,Tina

From here Keith will go, because he will likely have the most votes and picked up two more from Jerri and Amber when Jerri gets the boot. Liz may have three, but Keith will lose the tiebreaker.

The final three Rodger, Liz, and Tina

The rest depends on immunity and who the last immunity winner feels they have the best chance against, but remember Liz will not vote off Rodger and vice versa.
Could we see a Rodger/Liz final two. Maybe , maybe not but the final three sounds good to me

Of Course this depends on immunity and Liz's awareness of her ability to manipulate. This would make for great TV drama, but the obvious is a Ogakar final 5

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