LAST EDITED ON 12-20-22 AT 08:11 PM (EST)

Darn! I was worried that Gabler was featured SO much in NTOS, Promos, and Sneak Peek videos that he might be the Winner but I still convinced myself that Cassidy would eek out the win over Gabler.

I did get Karla 5th, Jesse 4th, and Owen 3rd correct! Just needed to flip Gabler and Cassidy. From Gabler having more Confessionals than Cassidy I should have gone with Gabler to win...

Looking back at edit...

Episode 1 Opening Confessionals

• 7th) 5th-Karla: Grew up in tough environment, I'm adaptable and a very resilient person. That's how I've gotten to where I am today in life. When I've been tired, when I've been beaten down, when I've been told no, that's my time to shine and kick #####.
  
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• 9th) 2nd-Cassidy: I'm not gonna sit around and wait for other people to determine my game. I make my fate. I make my game.
  
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• 12th) 3rd-Owen: I want this so bad. I used to daydream about seeing my name up in the opening credits.
  
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• 14th) 1st-Gabler: Gabler. Mike Gabler. Jeff, I've been watching since the very beginning when our children were still being created. And my wife, basically, when they hatched--we, we started watching as a family like everybody else did, and we made it a Survivor night every week. I'm proud to be here.
  
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• NONE) 4th-Jesse

Jesse NOT seen in the Opening Confessionals was a pretty BIG clue that Jesse would be out at Final 4.

Karla and Gabler got the longest Opening Confessionals but Gabler got the last one just before the challenge started.

Episode 1 Opening Confessional Flash Cut Scenes

1. 4th-Jesse & Family
   
2. 5th-Karla & Female
   
3. 1st-Gabler in scrubs

Not Seen: Owen and Cassidy

Confessional Counts BEFORE the Finale

50 4.17 4th-Jesse
45 3.75 5th-Karla
38 3.17 3rd-Owen
36 3.00 1st-Gabler
30 2.50 2nd-Cassidy

History of Fire Making Challenge

S## | Won F4IC Winner | Assigned Immunity           | Won F4 Fire Making Challenge
----+-----------------+-----------------------------+--------------------------------------
S35 | 2nd-2-Chrissy   | 3rd-1-Ryan                  | 1st-_5-Ben         (beat Devon)
S36 | 2nd-5-Domenick  | 3rd-0-Laurel                | 1st-_5-Wendell     (beat Angela)
S37 | 1st-7-Nick      | 3rd-0-Angelina              | 2nd-_3-Mike White  (beat Kara)
S38 | 1st-9-Chris     | 3rd-0-Julie     2nd-4-Gavin | 1st-_9-Chris       (beat Rick)
S39 | 3rd-0-Noura     | 1st-8-Tommy                 | 2nd-_2-Dean        (beat Lauren Beck)
S40 | 2nd-4-Natlie    | 3rd-0-Michele               | 1st-12-Tony        (beat Sarah)
S41 | 3rd-0-Xander    | 1st-7-Erika                 | 2nd-_1-Deshawn     (beat Heather)
S42 | 3rd-0-Romeo     | 1st-7-Maryanne              | 2nd-_1-Mike Turner (beat Jonathan)
S43 | 2nd-1-Cassidy   | 3rd-0-Owen                  | 1st-_7-Gabler      (beat Jesse)

5 Winners also WON their Final 4 Fire Making Challenge

3 Winners were TAKEN to the Final 3

2 Winners WON the Final 4 Immunity Challenge

ONLY MALES have won all NINE Final 4 Fire Making Challenges

FIVE Females have LOST the Final 4 Fire Making Challenge