Bebe: Great assessments and conclusions! Very logical. But, I do see it a little differently. I think that it is indeed Michele that is the fighter, fighting her way until her torch is snuffed. I think that Aubry wins the reward and the advantage. If it's removing a juror, I think it will be Julia that is removed. I agree that Michele is tightest with Cydney. Michele and Cydney clearly want Tai gone. Tai and Aubry want Cydney gone. Last week, Aubry identified Cydney as her primary target and I still think she will feel the same way, and I believe Tai will stick with her. I think an "emotional decision" for Aubry would be her turning on Tai after she pledged to him last week, and going with the easy vote, the girls. I think she will stick with Tai.
We see Michele and Tai are neck in neck in the F4 IC, but in order for Michele to utter the title quote, I will fight to the end, and in order for this to come true: If Tai wins I'm screwed, Tai, I think will indeed win the F4 IC.
You were right, we heard that Michele will NOT write Cydney's name down, but we DID NOT hear Cydney say the same thing. I think Michele will indeed write Cydney's name down....she voted out Nick, she voted out Julia, why wouldn't she vote out Cydney too? Tai and Aubry will vote for Cydney, Cydney will vote for either Aubry or Michele, and Michele most likely will vote Cydney to avoid the tie.
F4: Cydney
F3: Tai, Aubry, Michele
I think that most likely Michele will win the F3 IC. She will chose to vote out Tai, leaving Michele and Aubry as the F2, Aubry wins.
At least that is how I see it, I could be SOAH RONG!